Trump - hoće li biti impeachment ili 8 godina drugačijeg predsednikovanja?

[iDemo]

Sto rece moj brat blizanac - dok mudros' iz kerećeg parka kaže - "u takovim ratovima svi gube" - bogatunim se već klade na Kinu...

https://twitter.com/vlak_off/status/972006595147194369

[Redoran]

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Edited March 10, 2018 by Redoran

[theanswer]

Voren kaže da se neće kandidovati 2020. Ostaju Buker, Heris, Sanders, možda Bajden od ovih top tier kandidata. 

[katamaran]

Kad vec pominjete ekonomiju ima li nade da $ stane na noge dok je narandzasti na vlasti? Poslednja dva dana malo je skocio i u odnosu na dinar i na evro. Bilo bi lepo da nastavi

Edited March 11, 2018 by katamaran

[marv]

8 hours ago, theanswer said:

Voren kaže da se neće kandidovati 2020. Ostaju Buker, Heris, Sanders, možda Bajden od ovih top tier kandidata. 

 

kandidovace se hilari opet mmw

[Gojko & Stojko]

On 3/9/2018 at 6:13 PM, iDemo said:

Sto rece moj brat blizanac - dok mudros' iz kerećeg parka kaže - "u takovim ratovima svi gube" - bogatunim se već klade na Kinu...

https://twitter.com/vlak_off/status/972006595147194369

Naravno.

 

 

Donald Trump's tough guy theatrics no match for China's economic weapons

 

In a famous scene in an Indiana Jones movie, the hero is confronted in a Cairo marketplace by an intimidatingly large man who produces a scimitar and flourishes it expertly. He grimaces ferociously at Jones as the crowd falls back in awe. But Jones, unconcerned by this dramatic display, cooly draws his pistol, shoots the swordsman and turns to his next task.

 

In today's economic warfare between the US and China, America's President has reached for an ancient weapon suited for another era, the tariff, a weapon favoured in the 17th century campaigns fought in the name of mercantilism. He's brandishing it theatrically and the world media and markets are watching breathlessly. China is Donald Trump's primary target. The government in Beijing is unhappy with this threat and promises to respond if injured.

 

But, in truth, this will be a minor inconvenience for the Chinese. "China is obviously the dominant force in the world" producing no less than half all steel made worldwide last year, 10 times the US output, says commodities analyst Jim Lennon of London research consultancy Red Door. "It's a bit of a non-event because the US is such a small part of the world equation."

 

More importantly, China has already moved well beyond this antiquated trade warfare to a much smarter, subtler form of economic conquest. China amasses power and wealth around the planet with a neo-imperialist program of state-controlled investment.

 

While Trump twirls his tinpot 17th century tariff, China's Xi Jinping extends his 21st century weaponised yuan with powerful effect.

 

We know how Trump's faux-tough guy tactics will work out. His proposed tariffs on imports of steel and aluminium are stupid because experience tells us that they are self-harming as well as self-defeating.

 

Self-harming because they will push up the price of steel and aluminium in America. And while that might help the metal-making firms, it harms the many more metal-using firms, American businesses that need the metals to build their products.

 

Case study: When President George W. Bush did the same thing in 2002, imposing a 30 per cent tariff on steel imports but exempting Canadian product, it did help some US steelmakers. In the three quarters that followed, total American steelmaker profits rose by $US2.1 billion, according to a study by the US Consuming Industries Trade Action Coalition.

 

But among the American companies that depended on that steel to make their cars and containers, buildings and bulldozers, servers and stoves, profits fell by $US15 billion in the corresponding period. These firms shed 200,000 workers, with $4 billion in wages lost. So trade protection harms America much more than it helps.

 

"It will make steel users in the US even more uncompetetive," Lennon points out. Bush cancelled his tariff after a year and a half under threat of retaliation by the European Union and Japan. It's no coincidence that these same countries are once more threatening to retaliate.

 

And that's the reason that these exercises are also self-defeating. They don't just annoy and alienate America's enemies but also its friends.

 

Part of the brilliance of China's weapon of choice, however, is that it is eagerly welcomed. China's worldwide investment activity is vast and growing. Its Belt and Road program of road and rail, ports and dams, hydroelectricity and pipelines is designed to connect Asia to Europe, potentially sweeping as far south as Australia and the South Pacific and as far west as Africa. It is the most ambitious infrastructure plan since the Roman Empire.

 

So far 68 countries embracing two-thirds of the world's people have signed up in excited expectation of Chinese money. China is spending some $US150 billion ($190 billion) a year on Belt and Road, Xi's signature international venture, with a total value estimated at up to $US8 trillion. This gives China a tremendous source of power over supplicant states.

 

Of course, many of the countries hungriest for Chinese cash are the most desperate. But it's not a charity. Beijing finances projects with loans. Of the 68 countries signed up to date, 33 are ranked as below investment grade by the world's rating agencies. In other words, they're not very creditworthy but China is cheerfully lending them billions.

 

Of these, new Chinese lending is already exposing eight countries to risk of financial distress, according to a new report by the Centre for Global Development, a US-based non-profit think tank. One is in Southeast Asia - Laos. Another two are on the rim of the Indian Ocean - the Maldives and Pakistan. A fourth is the African country which happens to host China's only overseas naval base, Djibouti. Fifth is the Balkan state of Montenegro. The other three are in Central Asia - Mongolia, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan.

 

What happens if they are having trouble making their repayments? When Sri Lanka asked to renegotiate its $US8 billion debt to China for the Hambantota Port project last year, Beijing converted its debt into ownership equity and a 99-year management lease on the port. When Tajikistan had trouble with repayments, China asked for ownership over 1158 square kilometres of its land. And the Belt and Road program is still in its earliest phase.

 

Not only poor countries are worried about their potential exposure to Chinese finance.

 

Beyond China's Belt and Road investments are its many commercial acquisitions across the rest of the world. The governments of many of the richest powers increasingly are anxious about some of the consequences. Canada is blocking a Chinese state-owned firm's purchase of one of its construction companies. Germany's Angela Merkel reportedly has said that Europe needs to be more sceptical of Chinese state-owned company investments. The US is blocking China's cutting-edge telecom firm Huawei from building America's 5-G communications network, not because it thinks it will exert Chinese government subversion of America's communications today but because it is worried about the orders that Beijing might give Huawei in a crisis tomorrow.

 

Compared to the scale and the power of China's vast program of investment, Trump's tariffs are a mere trifle, and more likely to damage the US than China. Trump tweeted last week that his administration had asked China for a "One Billion Dollar reduction in their massive Trade Deficit with the US". Only one billion in a deficit of nearly $US400 billion?

 

"I was thinking, how could it be only $1 billion?" Li Yong, of the China Association of International Trade, told The Financial Times. "Then I heard he got the number wrong."

 

Indeed. The President meant to say $100 billion. Trump also got his deficits and surpluses backwards. The Chinese have said they'll have a look at it. It must be hard for them to keep a straight face. The sword and pistol scene never fails to get a laugh.

 

Peter Hartcher is international editor.

 

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[iDemo]

Ja sam rek'o da ce biti win-win al' nisam racunao da ce bash ovoliki cirkus da bude, ne? 

[jms_uk]

oh, my!


Sent from my iTelephone using Tapatalk

[Eraserhead]

Ho ho ho... Ode i Tilerson. Kakav raspad od administracije

[jms_uk]

On kao da je u Apprentice-u.

 

Kad je poslednji put neko ovako cesto/brzo menjao ceo kabinet?

 

 

Sent from my iTelephone using Tapatalk

 

[James Marshall]

bogotac, napravi od USA Srbiju sa ovim "rekonstrukcijama"

[Eraserhead]

42 minutes ago, Host said:

Trump ukazom blokirao preuzimanje Qualcomma iako je Broadcom, koji je hteo da preuzme firmu, najavio potpuno prebacivanje sedista firme iz Singapura u Ameriku.

 

To je posebno ludilo.

[Eraserhead]

Ho ho ho

 

 

[Weenie Pooh]

Ja o tom Pompeju™ ne znam ništa, ime promiče svako malo ali nekako uspevam da ga zaobiđem, ne znam čak ni kako čovek izgleda  Sećam se samo da je nešto trtljao o pretnji koju je Jugoslavija predstavljala po US of A...

 

[radisa]

Ja o tom Pompeju[emoji769] ne znam ništa, ime promiče svako malo ali nekako uspevam da ga zaobiđem, ne znam čak ni kako čovek izgleda  Sećam se samo da je nešto trtljao o pretnji koju je Jugoslavija predstavljala po US of A...
 

A kao nije bila pretnja? Uvalili im lažni svemirski program, uvalili Yugo... Malo li je?