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Opšti topik o EU (ex kriza Evrozone)

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Edited by Budja

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  • bejzbolka
    bejzbolka

    Malopre čitam ovu vest, pročitao sam dva puta da vidim jesam li dobro razumeo. Iz perspektive političkog života u Srbiji ovo izgleda kao da se dešava na drugoj planeti.

  • Nestorescu

  • Gde je Putin desničar, šta je sa vama? Putin je čovek bez bilo kakve ideologije, on je deep state tehnokrata bezbednjačkog usmerenja, o bilo kakvoj ideologiji verovatno ima mišljenje kao i o bilo kakv

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ako je ovo iz opisa videa tacno, ne bi me cudilo i da su zapucali po njima

3 hours ago, zorglub said:

Fejspalm je za našeg dopisnika koji je neočekivani prikaz nasilja danske policije

Sta je tu neocekivano? Policija ima pendreke, a gradjani imaju ledja. Kad se spoje pendrek i ledja, cuje se - jao.

Sigurno danska policija nije krenula da ih bije bez razloga?!

Ako AV satrapi mogu da nadju opravdanje za svako nasilje policje u Srbiji. Onda, valjda, mozemo i mi da nadjemo neko opravdanje za te danske policajce koji su tukli, prema tom snimku, mirne protestante.

covid19

Eastern European Recipient

Net Total Received from the EU Yearly

Estimated Portion Funded by Germany (~21%)

Poland

~€8.0 Billion to €10.0 Billion

~€1.7B to €2.1B

Romania

~€5.0 Billion to €6.5 Billion

~€1.0B to €1.3B

Hungary

~€3.5 Billion to €4.5 Billion

~€730M to €940M

Czechia

~€2.5 Billion to €3.5 Billion

~€520M to €730M

Slovakia

~€2.0 Billion to €2.8 Billion

~€420M to €580M

Bulgaria

~€1.8 Billion to €2.2 Billion

~€370M to €460M

Baltic States (Combined)

~€2.5 Billion to €3.0 Billion

~€520M to €630M

Ukupna Nemacka neto davanja istocnoevropskim clanicama EU godisnje, preko EU fondova, iznosi oko 8 milijardi evra.

Cist profit nemackih preduzeca na Istoku Evrope kada se oduzmu ponovna ulganja u povecanje kapaciteta ili povecanja produktivnosti pogona

German corporations pull out an estimated €11 billion to €16 billion in raw cash dividends each year from their Eastern European EU subsidiaries.

While the total net profits generated by German operations in the region are much higher (ranging between €20 billion and €30 billion annually), a significant portion is legally left behind to keep local operations running.

[Total German Repatriated Profit: ~€11B - €16B per year]

  ├── Poland: ~€4.5B - €6.0B
  ├── Czechia: ~€3.5B - €4.5B
  ├── Hungary: ~€1.8B - €2.5B
  ├── Slovakia: ~€1.0B - €1.5B
  └── Romania & Baltics: ~€1.2B - €1.5B

Na nivou cele EU su rezultati job bolji za Nemce.

Kolilo Evropljani imaju poverenja u SAD.

84cbfe073fe8ce00.jpg

Poljaci dominiraju iako su sad razočarani jer je Tramp najavio da neće slati 4000 vojnika tamo kao što je bilo planirano

Germany's Merz proposes radical shakeup of EU membership to give hope to Ukraine, Moldova, Western Balkans states

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has called on EU leaders to discuss a new additional membership status for Ukraine and other candidate countries to maintain momentum until they're full members of the bloc, in a letter seen by the Kyiv Independent dated May 18.

Ukraine has been a candidate country since 2022, but further progress on EU accession has been blocked for almost a year.

The letter notes that "the enlargement process takes much too long" and that "understandably, this creates frustration."

Some countries have been stuck waiting far longer than Ukraine to proceed to the next steps of EU accession. North Macedonia was granted candidate status in December 2005. More than 20 years later, its progress has been blocked first by Greece, requiring the country to change its name, and then by Bulgaria over ethnic disputes.

"I am convinced that we need a new dynamic for Ukraine as well as for the Western Balkans and Moldova," Merz says in the letter.

Regarding Ukraine, the German Chancellor is clear that it should become a "full member" of the EU, and also reiterates the German position that all six enlargement clusters "should, immediately, and without delay, formally open."

Hungary has been blocking progress on opening those clusters for a year, but they are not alone in raising objections.

While that process continues, Merz proposes an "associate membership" for Ukraine, which would grant participation in meetings of EU leaders, a seat in the college of EU Commissioners, non-voting membership in the European Parliament, and even some representation in the European Court of Justice.

"We would already now offer to Ukraine a substantial equivalent to membership that exceeds by far what we could deliver in the medium term through our accession methodology," Merz says in the letter.

“It’s a creative way for overcoming some of the main concerns voiced by France and Poland but the pro-enlargement camp will be concerned that it distracts from the ultimate goal of full membership,” Christopher Glueck, managing director at Forefront Advisers, told the Kyiv Independent

Ukraine ruled out any kind of 'ersatz membership' when Merz's idea was first informally floated at a meeting of EU leaders in April, preferring to focus on pushing through the current accession process as quickly as possible.

Merz tries to address this in the letter by claiming "it would not be a membership light" and that it would "further accelerate the accession process."

For countries in the Western Balkans who have faced a much longer push toward EU integration, Germany's push for "innovative solutions also for those candidate countries which have been preparing for a long time now," could be seen as a much-needed boost to their own membership prospects.

The letter mentions that these countries could likewise be granted observer status in "all relevant EU institutions" and representation when EU institutions discuss issues that directly affect them.

For now, Merz is requesting the establishment of a task force to address the legal and political feasibility issues arising from his proposal.

https://kyivindependent.com/germanys-merz-proposes-radical-shakeup-of-eu-membership-to-give-hope-to-ukraine-moldova-balkans/

Nisam pronašao celo pismo, ovo je početak:

HI0u9KfXsAAHJ5U?format=jpg&name=medium

Edited by vememah

Dublin gangster candidate taps anger beneath country’s boom

https://www.ft.com/content/d39eed6d-ab8c-44e1-bdc2-7d3c3a0cf182?syn-25a6b1a6=1

kecman

Nece dobiti, Sinn Fein i Socijal Demokrate su najjace u centralnom Dablinu, slicno Londonu, ali zbog speicificnog irskog izbornog zakona moze da ima znacajnu ulogu. Prica ono sto i SF prica samo sto jos igra na populisticku desnicu, koja nije prisutna u Republici Irskoj sa organizovanon strankom, delovanje FF i FG da eliminisu konkurenciju, pa se razni dohvate tih pozcija poput MMA zvezde optuzene za razne stvari ili "postenog" gangstera. Njegova kritika je opsta, isut imaju SF, Laburisti i SD, a to je ocajno stanje sa nekretnicama i jos gore stanje sa infrastrukturom dok R. Irska ima ogromne suficite budzeta od preko $10 milijardi poslednjih par godina a veliki je rast populacije.

Ali kako se smeju iz SF...ali nece oni na vlast zbog svog stava oko Severne Irske(momentalni referednum o ujedinjenju) mada je bas dosta ljudi nezadovoljno sa FF i FG.

Novinar FAZ-a Mihael Martens o situaciji s proširenjem EU, otprilike na tragu onog gore Mercovog pisma:

It is unlikely that Ukraine, Moldova, or the countries of the Western Balkans will be allowed to join the EU as full members in the foreseeable future. Even in Montenegro’s case, the risk of a veto is high. Which is why it is important to start planning for alternatives now. ⬇️
Warning: If you think EU enlargement is going just fine, and that Montenegro will easily join in 2028, to be followed by Ukraine, Moldova and the rest soon – this thread is not for you. For the others: Here are some ideas for transitional alternatives to full EU membership.
Before we start: Unfortunately, the debate about alternative ideas is often shaped by misunderstandings or insufficient knowledge. A frequent casualty of these misconceptions is the “single market” idea. Let me first summarize what this is about. Roughly, this is the situation:
Some EU member states are currently unwilling to admit new EU-members with veto rights. They fear those new members could abuse their veto to hollow out the EU from within (Orbán!). And a single veto can block enlargement. But there is an interim solution out of the veto dilemma:
Accession candidates that meet the conditions could be admitted to the EU’s single market, with its four freedoms. Just like Norway, which belongs to the single market but not to the EU. In addition, qualified states could be offered membership in the Schengen area.
A simple idea, and yet there are many misunderstandings about it. First misunderstanding: “But thus is just a shortcut for autocrats to circumvent reforms and get a piece of the cake anyway!” Wrong. The single market is not a free-trade club for free-riders.
To join, a country must fulfill strict political requirements: A functioning democracy, an independent judiciary, a sound separation of powers. To benefit from the enormous advantages of the single market, the hurdles to be cleared are almost the same as on the road into the EU.
In short: No Copenhagen criteria, no single market. That is why Norway, as a functioning democracy, can be part of the single market, whereas Belarus could not. The current candidate countries are also far from meeting the political conditions for single market membership.
Second misconception: "Single-market membership would not change much, as candidates already have association and free-trade agreements with the EU anyway. Wrong. There are fundamental, far-reaching, very concrete differences between a free-trade agreement and a single market.
Being in the single market means full inclusion in the European Economic Area. Free-trade agreements merely mean being allowed to trade with that area under facilitated conditions. The difference is huge. Ask British business owners. Brexit taught them what the difference means.
The post-Brexit Trade and Cooperation Agreement between the EU and the UK entails immense restrictions. The single market offers full mobility of goods, people, services, and capital. A free-trade agreement does not, or only in selected areas, subject to renewal.
@adicerimagic of the think tank “European Stability Initiative” says: “Free-trade agreements primarily aim to reduce or eliminate tariffs on goods. The single market means the free movement of goods, services, capital and people in a common regulatory framework (…)”.
Example: An FTA does not eliminate controls with hours-long waiting times for trucks at borders, unlike a single market. Those controls generate huge costs: Drivers have to be paid longer, cold chains for agricultural products must function longer, delivery costs thus increase.
Companies with an FTA can sell products tariff-free, but still face customs controls, waiting times and potential trouble at borders. They also cannot just open branches, post employees, or offer services in single market-membership countries. Big minus for all consumers.
Misunderstanding three, about Schengen: “We already have visa-free travel to the EU, so Schengen membership would not make much difference.” Wrong. Visa-free travel and Schengen membership are fundamentally different.
Inside Schengen, (as a rule) there are no systematic controls on persons at borders. Borders are barely noticeable. Travel within Schengen resembles traveling within a single state. You do not notice the border between Berlin and Brandenburg or Denmark and Germany.
But you notice very much when you cross from Serbia to Bosnia, Bosnia to Croatia, Moldova to Romania or Ukraine to Poland. Passport controls cost time, can be annoying and even a source of friction and uncertainty. In Schengen, all that disappears. To sum up:
Given the aversion (not only in Berlin and Paris) against admitting additional veto-wielding states into the EU, it is questionable whether the EU will be able to welcome no [any] full-fledged members any time soon. But that is not a excuse to do nothing to strengthen Europe.
Montenegro might become the first candidate country for which institutional arrangements below the threshold of full membership will become concrete – namely if, by 2028/30, it becomes clear that the promise of full political membership is not supported in some European capitals.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky damands a fixed and binding EU accession date for his country. But that is not how the process works - not even for Ukraine, which is seen as much more important to the EU than all the Western Balkan states combined.
Neither the Commission nor the member states (who need on unanimity on this) can guarantee a binding accession date. This is where ideas come into play such as offering Ukraine, if it meets the criteria, single-market membership, as explained above.
New single-market members would not burden the EU with new veto-wielding players, yet it would be economically and geopolitically beneficial for both sides.
But again: Anyone who believes the current enlargement process of the EU works just fine should not concern themselves with such ideas. Just go ahead. But do not complain later at the crash site that you did not know what was coming.
If you are interested in the most common misconceptions about what the Single Market & Schengen membership mean (and what they don´t), I have summarized some aspects here, with great input from Adi Cerimagic. (In German, but ChatGPT should do the trick:)
https://internationalepolitik.de/de/verhandlungssache-europa

https://x.com/Andric1961/status/2059162927890882710

Sve je to već poznato i realno, nama bi za početak bio dovoljan status kakav imaju Švajcarska i Norveška. Fazon je da naši polupismeni političari uopšte ne razmatraju takvu opciju, ko zna da li im je uopšte i poznata. Mi smo nažalost zemlja bez cilja i strategije.

4 minutes ago, FOX river said:

nama bi za početak bio dovoljan status kakav imaju Švajcarska i Norveška

Dobro, ne treba biti previše skroman... fantom

Pa baš, to su statusi pogodni za oberbogate rijetko naseljene zemlje

Možda bi SRB bolje odgovaralo priključenje carinskoj uniji EU i Turske.

1 hour ago, FOX river said:

Sve je to već poznato i realno, nama bi za početak bio dovoljan status kakav imaju Švajcarska i Norveška. Fazon je da naši polupismeni političari uopšte ne razmatraju takvu opciju, ko zna da li im je uopšte i poznata. Mi smo nažalost zemlja bez cilja i strategije.

Znaju oni ali u takvom odnosu nema fondova EU a njih to samo zanima. Problem je sto oni svi misle da je to besplatno a nije I tek nece biti.

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AI Prevod

Gallup anketa o imigraciji: Velika većina želi strožu migrantsku politiku

  • 71% ... vidi bezbednost Austrije kao ugroženu usled imigracije.

  • 64% ... smatra da migrantska politika vlade nije dovoljno stroga.

  • 62% ... bi dalo prednost zajedničkoj politici EU po pitanju azila i migracija.

  • 51% ... vidi blagostanje Austrije kao ugroženo usled migracije.

  • 46% ... je veoma ili donekle zadovoljno kursom FPÖ-a (Slobodarske partije Austrije) po pitanju imigracije.

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