Svet

[vememah]

Danas se održavaju prevremeni izbori u Austriji (u 17 zatvaranje b.m. i prvi exit pollovi) i takođe prevremeni u nemačkoj pokrajini Donjoj Saksoniji (u 18 zatvaranje b.m. i prvi exit pollovi).

 

S obzirom na to da se očekuje da će u istočnom carstvu mlađani Kurc praviti koaliciju s ekstremnom desnicom FPÖ pošto je nakon dolaska na čelo ÖVP-a (Austrijske narodne stranke) razbio dosadašnju "veliku" sa socijaldemokratama, koja je trajala 4 godine. Socijaldemokrate (SPÖ) će sa prvog verovatno pasti na treće mesto po broju glasova, već kruže ovakve karikature (levo - pre izbora, a desno - posle).

 

Zeleni su se u međuvremenu iscepali tako da se može desiti da nijedna od dve frakcije ne uđe u parlament, a biće zanimljivo videti kako će se zeleni predsednik Van der Belen nositi sa novom koalicijom u kojoj nema nikog levo od centra.

 

U Donjoj Saksoniji je pak izvestan ulazak AfD-a u pokrajinsku skupštinu (ankete im daju između 8 i 10%), a verovatan je i povratak eks-komunista Die Linke koji su po gotovo svim anketama na cenzusu od 5% ili nešto iznad njega (u januaru 2013. uzeli su svega 3,1%, dok su pre 8 imali preko 7%), što će svakako zakomplikovati priču oko pravljenja koalicije s obzirom na to da će umesto 4 sada biti 6 poslaničkih grupa, tako da je verovatnoća da će SPD i Zeleni opet moći sami da vladaju vrlo mala.

 

Strimovi:

 

Austrija:

http://tvthek.orf.at/live (ORF2 od 16.30)

 

Nemačka:

http://www.ardmediathek.de/tv/Das-Erste/live?kanal=208 (nacionalni javni servis Das Erste od 17.30)

https://www.zdf.de/live-tv (nacionalni javni servis ZDF od 17.40)

http://www.ardmediathek.de/tv/live?kanal=21518352 (severnonemački javni servis NDR od 17.45)

[vememah]

Privatni news kanal OE24 kaže sledeće:

 

 

ORF još okleva sa svojim exit pollom.

Edited October 15, 2017 by vememah

[vememah]

Evo i ORF-a:

 

 

Svi preko 4% ulaze u skupštinu.

 

Privatni kanali pak kažu da bar jedna od zelenih lista (druga je Pilz) ne ulazi:

 

 

Dakle, dosadašnji ministar spoljnih poslova Sebastijan Kurc (ÖVP) sa 31 godinom postaje najmlađi kancelar u istoriji Austrije, a dosadašnji kancelar Kristijan Kern (SPÖ) odlazi u opoziciju ako preživi kao predsednik stranke.

Edited October 15, 2017 by vememah

[vememah]

ORF sad obrnuo, SPÖ na drugom mestu, a Zeleni knap ispod cenzusa od 4%. Privatni emiter ATV tvrdi da je SPÖ i dalje treći (ali s daleko manjim zaostatkom za FPÖ nego ranije), a da su ispod cenzusa i Zeleni i lista otpadnika od njih Pilca.

 

 

 

 

 

[vememah]

Još novija procena ORF-a potvrđuje drugo mesto za SPÖ i pad ispod cenzusa za Zelene.
 
Ovako bi trebalo da izgleda parlament:
 

 

Edit: Evo ga pobednik.

 

Edited October 15, 2017 by vememah

[vememah]

http://orf.at/wahl/nr17/#globus

Edited October 15, 2017 by vememah

[hazard]

1 divota od rezultata. Da li je SPÖ ispred FPÖ je ja bih rekao na više nivoa simbolički bitno ali neće imati posledica po sastav vlade. Valjda tu dosta utiče skoro 900.000 glasova poslatih poštom iz inostranstva.

[vememah]

Pismom se glasa i iz Austrije, mogu ga pored austrijskih državljana sa prebivalištem izvan matice koristiti i oni koji iz nekog razloga neće moći da odu do biračkog mesta na dan izbora (jer ne mogu da napuštaju kuću ili će biti negde drugde u Austriji ili inostranstvu).

https://www.help.gv.at/Portal.Node/hlpd/public/content/32/Seite.320520.html

 

U Beču je npr. na ponovljenim predsedničkim izborima preko 19% glasalo pismom. Pismom natprosečno puno glasa urbana i obrazovana populacija.

Edited October 15, 2017 by vememah

[Budja]

Inace, venecuelanska opozicija pojela govno time sto je izasla na regionalne izbore.

 

Potpuno sumanut potez. Ocekivano, Maduro razvalio, opozicija kuka.

[Eraserhead]

Inace, venecuelanska opozicija pojela govno time sto je izasla na regionalne izbore.

 

Potpuno sumanut potez. Ocekivano, Maduro razvalio, opozicija kuka.

Fino ih je izradio. Budale.

[Redoran]

Daphne Caruana ubijena na Malti :(

[Budja]

Da primetimo vrlo vazne vesti:

 

Brazilski parlament je danas prakticno proglasio Temera nevinim za optuzbe sudstva za umesanost u korupciju. Juce je Parlamente to isto uradio i sa Nevesom, protivkandidatom Rusefovoj na prethodnim izborima.

 

Parlament se prakticno pokenjao sam sebi u usta i potvrdio da je smena Rusefove politicka - ova dvojica se ganjaju za mnogo zesce optuzbe nego za relativno minorno sminkanje budzeta za sta je Rusefova smenjena.

 

 

 

Nakon politickih zatvorenika u Spaniji, imamo i ovo.

 

Maduro likes this.

[Budja]

WHO, bitange.

 

 

The choice of Zimbabwe President Robert Mugabe as a World Health Organization (WHO) goodwill ambassador has been criticised by several organisations including the British government.

[Shan Jan]

Ne zna se ko je ovde gori, diktator koji je unistio svoju zemlju ili besni ex-kolonizator...

[vememah]

Danas bili izbori u Češkoj, vladajući socijaldemokrati (ČSSD) sleteli su sa tesnog prvog na šesto mesto po jačini (komunisti su npr. na petom) uprkos prilično dobrom stanju ekonomije. Pobedio je njihov doskorašnji partner, milijarder Babiš. Drugoplasirani je konzervativni ODS (stranka Vaclava Klausa), trećeplasirana Piratska stranka, a četvrtoplasirana antiimigrantska stranka SPD koja je u dobrim odnosima sa francuskim Nacionalnim frontom, a vodi je Tomio Okamura, rođen u Tokiju.

 

 

Czech billionaire’s ANO party set to win elections

Projections show party led by Andrej Babiš to benefit from voters’ desire for change over tax, immigration and EU relations

The billionaire businessman Andrej Babiš is in line for a big win in parliamentary elections in the Czech Republic, projections have shown.

With voting taking place over Friday and Saturday, Babiš’s ANO party, which has vowed to cut taxes, increase investments and curb immigration, is expected to win 29.7% of the vote, more than twice that of any other party.

It would be the first group to break a quarter of a century of dominance by two mainstream centre-right and centre-left parties, highlighting a shifting political landscape in Europe where an influx of refugees has given rise to protest groups.

At 7.2%, the ruling Social Democrats, led by the prime minister, Bohuslav Sobotka, are on course for their worst result since the country separated from Slovakia in 1993.

The Czech economy has experienced rapid growth, a balanced budget and the lowest unemployment in the European Union in the last four years, but the Social Democrats, who led a government with ANO and another partner, have not been able to capitalise.

Instead, ANO and other anti-establishment groups took advantage of voters’ desire for change by promising to fight corruption, stop deeper EU integration and prevent the country from accepting quotas for taking in refugees imposed by Brussels.

Babiš himself has promised to bring a businessman’s touch to government, which has resonated with voters.

Result projections, modelled on actual voting results with 58.6% of voting stations reporting, showed the centre-right Civic Democrats to be the second strongest party, with 11.4% of the vote. Eight parties are expected to win seats.

Apart from caretaker administrations, the Social Democrats or the Civic Democrats have led every Czech cabinet since Czechoslovakia split.

Babiš has taken a tough line against further EU integration, accepting refugees and adoption of the euro, raising the prospect he may join Hungary and Poland on a collision course with the bloc.

His swipes at Brussels play well with Eurosceptic Czechs. However, Babiš also praises EU membership and does not share the relatively illiberal ideology of the governments in Budapest and Warsaw.

Babiš has maintained his popularity despite accusations of conflicts of interest related to his food, chemical and agriculture business holdings, which were placed in a trust earlier this year.

Concerns about Babiš mainly centre on his strong managerial style and vast business and media influence that would be amplified by him becoming prime minister.

He also faces police charges that he illegally received a €2m (£1.8m) EU subsidy when he ran his business empire, before entering politics. He has denied any wrongdoing, saying the charges were a plot by opponents to push him out of politics.

“The more people organise campaigns against him the more it helps him among others,” said one ANO voter, Alena Chlostova.

ANO will have to form a coalition, with talks likely to take weeks. If negotiations with mainstream parties fail, there is the possibility ANO may form a cabinet with backing from the Communists and the far-right, anti-EU Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) party.

The Czech president, Miloš Zeman, has said he will allow a month for negotiations before calling a new parliament, the trigger for the current administration to depart. By custom, he asks someone to lead talks before appointing a prime minister.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/oct/21/czech-billionaires-ano-party-set-to-win-elections-andrej-babis?CMP=share_btn_tw