Jozef K. Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 (edited) Nisi sa marsa, ako se gleda čisto proporcionalno. Međutim izbori služe da se dobije pobednik, tako da se često forsira pobednik. U Grčkoj se prvoplasiranom dodeljuje npr 50 bonus mandata. Svakako Španiji sledi koaliciona vlada, gde je drugi partner dosta jak i sa utemeljenom podrškom. Poslao tapatalk Edited December 20, 2015 by Jozef K.
vememah Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 (edited) Razlika u izlaznosti po provincijama uz moguće tumačenje: Glasači po starosnim grupama po jednoj anketi: http://fortune.com/2015/12/18/spain-elections-generation-gap/ Edited December 20, 2015 by vememah
Prospero Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 Kul mi je ova spanska pijaca :D TT via LG G3
vememah Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 (edited) Izgleda da se trend obrnuo, izlaznost do 18 je veća nego pre 4 godine (58,29% prema 57,65%), mada je moguće da će još koji put ažurirati sajt do presice u 1830. To ide na ruku dvema novim strankama, jer mlađi glasači izlaze kasnije. http://resultadosgenerales2015.interior.es/avances/#/ES201512-PAR-ES/ES Provincije u kojima je odziv veći nego 2011. (levo odziv do 14, desno do 18) označene su tamnijom nijansom: Edited December 20, 2015 by vememah
Zoidberg Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 Hvala na pojašnjenju. :) Da, ima smisla to da najveća stranka dobija bonus mandate. Nije mi palo na pamet.
Budja Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 Spanski izborni sistem, male izborne jedinice, veca zastupljenost manjih izbornih jedinica Seats are allocated as follows: Two seats are given to each of the 50 provinces and one each to Ceutaand Melilla, and the remaining 348 are then allocated proportionally to population. In practice, this system overrepresents smaller provinces, and results in very low proportionality in all but the most populous such as Madrid and Barcelona. Additionally, since there are so many constituencies (52), most are relatively small. This effectively increases the legal 3% threshold to obtain seats in a constituency, radically decreases proportionality, and favors the two large parties and parties with concentrated regional strength, at the expense of national third parties.
vememah Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 and the remaining 348 248 are then allocated proportionally to population Ispravio.
vememah Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 (edited) Većina glavnih kandidata daje intervju privatnom info-radiju Cadena SER uz striming na Elpais.com. Simon Hunter Four of the five prime ministerial candidates are currently being interviewed together on Cadena SER radio station right now (PSOE, Ciudadanos, IU & Podemos, no one there from PP). Nicer atmosphere than during pre-election debates! http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/12/18/media/1450434499_422758.html http://elpais.com/ Edited December 20, 2015 by vememah
vememah Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 Zvanični strimovi za browser: TVE1 i TVE 24h (preuzima TVE1): http://www.rtve.es/directo/la-1/ http://www.rtve.es/directo/canal-24h/ Tele 5: http://www.telecinco.es/endirecto/ Strimovi za VLC: TVE1: http://api.iptv.ink/pl.m3u8?ch=35452405 Antena 3: http://api.iptv.ink/pl.m3u8?ch=62326989 La Sexta: http://api.iptv.ink/pl.m3u8?ch=88365689 Ko ima satelitsku, TVE Internacional i 24h su dostupni besplatno na Astri na 19° istočno.
vememah Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 (edited) Exit poll TVE: Exit poll Antene 3: Dakle, jedine moguće većine sa dve stranke su PP+PSOE i PP+Podemos. Edited December 20, 2015 by vememah
vememah Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 (edited) Zvanični rezultati još ne konvergiraju značajno ka exit pollovima. Prebrojano je 28%: http://resultadosgenerales2015.interior.es/congreso/#/ES201512-CON-ES/ES Podemos je ovde prisutan u čak 4 stavke, sam, u En comu Podemos, Compromis-Podemos-Es el moment i u En Marea, tj. po ovom rezultatu liste u kojima učestvuje imaju 66 (40+12+9+5) poslanika. Edited December 20, 2015 by vememah
vememah Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 Prebrojano pola, Sijudadanosi se ne miču nagore:
Kampokei Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 (edited) Trenutno 122-93-69-38, na 87% prebrojanih. Malcice mi je drago da su Ciudadanos prsli, ja toj stranci nekako ne verujem. Edited December 20, 2015 by Kampokei
vememah Posted December 20, 2015 Posted December 20, 2015 Prebrojano više od 90%. Ako tradicionalne stranke ne naprave veliku koaliciju, ostaju mogućnosti lova na male stranke. Na slici je prikazano da Narodnjacima i Sijudadanosu fali 14 za većinu, a tu je i varijanta Socijalisti+Podemos kojoj po ovim rezultatima fali 16.
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