Politika u UK

[Gandalf]

 

 

[vememah]

1,1 milion pregleda za 19 sati.

 

 

 

[adam]

tiha voda.... 

[vememah]

 

[Roger Sanchez]

 

[vememah]

[hazard]

evo i ovde za lakse citanje:

 

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/nov/27/mrp-poll-conservatives-on-course-for-68-seat-majority

 

disclaimer:

 

Quote

However, for this analysis it has been polling people over the past week – when regular polling firms would aim for the last couple of days – and during an election campaign every day matters.

 

A week ago, neither party manifesto was out, the leaders’ debate had not happened – and the Labour antisemitism row had not surfaced. Also, more importantly while the Conservative squeeze of the Brexit party has come early in this campaign, the Labour squeeze of the Liberal Democrats has yet to complete.

 

There are some things in the forecast that look curious. Labour is not forecast to gain any seats at all, which would surprise party workers in some targets where it has dozens on the ground, such as Southampton Itchen (Conservative majority 31), Hastings and Rye (Conservative majority 346) and Chingford and Woodford Green (Con majority 2,438).

 

Even West Bromwich East, previously held for Labour by Tom Watson on a majority of 7,713, is projected to change hands, and interestingly most of the seats projected to switch are straight Conservative versus Labour battles. In only a handful, such as Kensington in London, does a Lib Dem revival split the anti-Tory vote.

 

[Anduril]

Dobar tekst o tome kako je rasla mreza tink-tankova u UK koja gura tvrdi Brexit:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/nov/29/rightwing-thinktank-conservative-boris-johnson-brexit-atlas-network

Najbolji deo mi je ovaj koji opet dokumentuje koliko su mediji deo igre:

 

Quote

Reports had begun to appear in the media, based on briefings from anonymous sources, that Davis was working with the IEA to deliver a 140-page alternative to May’s plan. Yet it failed to materialise, reportedly after ERG members were unable to agree on some of its wilder ideas, which included a military expeditionary force to defend the Falkland Islands. Instead, on 11 September, a little-known organisation, Economists for Free Trade, launched its vision for Brexit, which involved walking away from an EU trade deal and reverting to WTO rules. The economist speaking on the panel at its launch event was Prof Patrick Minford, trustee of and veteran contributor to the IEA; he was introduced by the then ERG chairman, Jacob Rees-Mogg, who was also an adviser to Economists for Free Trade.

The next day, the ERG produced another paper, this time on how to solve the Irish border problem. The ERG held a launch event in London, and a blog founded after the referendum, Brexit Central, which was edited by the former policy director of the TaxPayers’ Alliance, published the paper online. Separately, a few days later, Hannan’s Initiative for Free Trade launched his “ideal US-UK free trade deal”, the collaboration between UK and US Atlas thinktanks. The following week, the IEA launched Plan A+, its own radical proposal for a Canada-style free trade deal, drawn up by Singham and his team. The ERG supported the launch and Johnson took to Twitter to declare it a “fine piece of work by @shankerasingham @iealondon”.

There was a puzzling circularity to all this activity generated by separate organisations, which, on closer inspection, turned out to be connected. The merits or otherwise of the proposals were almost beside the point. They captured the news agenda day after day, creating a tide of commentary and headlines. “Because broadcasters often fail to match Brexiters with trade experts, they get away with their nonsense,” Simon Wren-Lewis, professor of economics at Oxford University, has noted. “By the time the nonsense is revealed as such, and enough people know why it is nonsense, the discussion has moved on and new nonsense appears.”

 

Edited November 29, 2019 by Anduril

[vememah]

 

[adam]

[hazard]

On 30.11.2019. at 18:10, vememah said:

 

 

Interesantan skok laburista, da li prati trendove iz prethodne kampanje (2017.)? Jer brojevi nisu isti (u ovo vreme kao što grafikon kaže, 2017. je 43-41), ali trend skoka?

[Budja]

Cini se da su LD cao, i da tu ima prelivanja glasova.

E, sad, ima i Skotska.

Pretpostavlja da ako LAB pridju na minus 5, znajuci da su tropa u Skotskoj, LAB + SNP + LD mogu da imaju vecinu.

[vememah]

 

[Gandalf]

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/12/07/voting-lib-dem-could-hurt-the-tories-as-much-as-labour

Edited December 6, 2019 by Gandalf

[jms_uk]