Svet

[Dr Arslanagić]

Što rata? Ne želim nikome rat, samo da se Evropa rascepka na stotine neofeudalnih jedinica.

[WTF]

Neko sranje sad u Jakarti.

[Marcus Wulffings]

 

 

Jakarta attacks: Bombs and gunfire rock Indonesian capital

• 17 minutes ago
•  
• From the sectionAsia

Image copyrightAPImage captionHeavily armed police are on the streets of the capital

A series of bomb blasts have rocked the Indonesian capital, Jakarta, and there is continuing gunfire and reports of further explosions on the streets.

At least six people have been killed by the blasts, which hit several locations including a shopping centre.

Police say they believe more than a dozen attackers were involved. Some are still at large and have been exchanging fire with security forces.

President Joko Widodo has called for calm but condemned the "act of terror".

 

 

ovi se šire kao virus, već su se zapatili na mindanau pa kao posledica svega toga imamo i džakartu

Edited January 14, 2016 by Marcus Wulffings

[Marcus Wulffings]

[hazard]

Nek se spremi Kesic.

 

 

Jimmy Morales inaugurated as new Guatemala president

•  
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•  
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Guatemalan former TV comedian Jimmy Morales has been inaugurated as the country's new president.

 

He was elected in October after huge anti-corruption demonstrations that led to the prosecution of a former president and vice-president.

 

Mr Morales has no previous experience in government. In his inaugural address, he promised to fight against corruption.

 

US Vice-President Joe Biden attended the ceremony.

 

It was the first time in 30 years that such a high-ranking American official was present at a Guatemalan inauguration.

 

In a wide-ranging speech, Mr Morales praised the anti-corruption movement and said Guatemala was going through a "renaissance".

 

He also promised money for health and education. "We want quality education for everyone, which prepares our children for a modern technical world."

 

His critics said President Morales gave few clues as to how he was going to fight corruption and how he was going to deal with Guatemala's high levels of violence, poverty and social inequality.

 

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-35320332

[vememah]

Maduro proglasio tzv. ekonomsko vanredno stanje.

 

Maduro declares Economic State of Emergency in Venezuela

The measure, which will last for 60 days, involves a restriction of constitutional guarantees
 
Alfredo Meza Caracas 15 ENE 2016 - 18:31 CET
 

El presidente de Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro, en Caracas ayer. / REUTERS

 

The Venezuelan government has declared an Economic State of Emergency for a 60-day period, according to the official state bulletin, which was published on Friday. The measure, which has been approved by President Nicolás Maduro, is aimed at “protecting the social rights of education, health, housing and sport for all Venezuelans.

According to a 2001 law, such states of emergency are exceptional measures that “can only be declared in serious situations whereby the ordinary means at the disposal of the state are insufficient to deal with them.”

The measure came several hours before Maduro was due to speak in front of the National Assembly

This insufficiency, the law continues, is dealt with by “increasing the faculties of the National Executive, with the temporary restriction of permitted constitutional guarantees and the execution, monitoring, supervision and inspection of the measures that are adopted according to the law.”

The publication came several hours before Maduro was due to speak for the first time in front of the National Assembly, which is now controlled by parties opposed to the president’s United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV).

Government sources announced that before Maduro addresses the Assembly, the new economy minister, Luis Salas, will explain the measures that will be put into place during these two months of economic emergency.

The current situation in Venezuela – with reported inflation as high as 200% and shortages of basic goods – is getting more and more severe. Since the elections on December 6, at which Deputies from the Democratic Unity Roundtable (MUD) – the coalition that unites all opposition parties – took 112 seats in parliament, compared to the 55 seats of the PSUV and its allies, Maduro had been warning that he would consider declaring an Economic State of Emergency. The position of the opposition on the measures, however, has yet to be seen. If they were to oppose the move, they have the option of appealing with the Supreme Court of Justice.
 
http://elpais.com/elpais/2016/01/15/inenglish/1452878810_197409.html

 

Nakon godinu dana, centralna banka Venecuele se smilovala da objavi podatke o inflaciji - na godišnjem nivou ona iznosi 140%, dok je godišnji pad BDP-a 7%.

 

CARACAS, Venezuela – Venezuela on Friday released its first economic data in more than a year showing an economy in shambles as the Central Bank acknowledged that inflation has surged into the triple digits.

 

The bank said annualized inflation was at 141.5 percent through September 2015, and the economy contracted by 7.1 percent during the quarter that ended in September 2015.

http://cb.pr/venezuelas-president-declares-economic-emergency/

[vememah]

Španski kongres (donji i važniji dom skupštine) izabrao Socijalistu za predsednika dogovorom te stranke sa Sijudadanosima. Podemos besan što nije dobio 4 poslaničke grupe (za svaku varijaciju koalicije u različitim delovima Španije po jednu) i time značajne privilegije pravio cirkus.
 

Shortly after noon on Wednesday, Patxi López, a veteran Socialist who served as Basque premier between 2009 and 2012, became the first speaker in Spanish democratic history who does not belong to the party that obtained the most votes at the election.

That fact reflects the new need for cross-party negotiations in a scenario where no group has yet found enough support to form a government following the December 20 ballot. A last-minute deal was reached between the Socialist Party and emerging center-right group Ciudadanos to get López sworn in, while the PP was forced to accept the deal despite having the most representatives in Congress.

Podemos did not join the PSOE-PP-Ciudadanos deal to support López in protest over the fact that it is not being allowed to create four separate groups in Congress, representing the anti-austerity party proper and the affiliated groups that it ran with in Galicia, Catalonia and Valencia. Such a move would effectively grant Podemos more subsidies and a greater presence on committees than if it were to have a single delegation.

Instead, Podemos put forward a nominee of its own, Carolina Bescansa, who showed up in Congress with her months-old baby and breastfed him while the vote got underway.

http://elpais.com/elpais/2016/01/13/inenglish/1452673886_901645.html

 
Novi predsednik Katalonije dao intervju i najavio promenu plana koji se odnosi na način postizanja nezavisnosti Katalonije:
 

Puigdemont Shifts Separatist Goal Posts From Declaration Of Independence To Catalan Constitution

Jan 15 2016—NEWS—The secessionists' pre-election plan called for a declaration of independence before a new basic law.



After being appointed First Minister as part of an eleventh-hour Catalan separatist deal, after swearing allegiance not to King Felipe or the Spanish Constitution but to "the will of the Catalan people represented by the Catalan Parliament", and after being described as "even more secessionist than than the last one" by The Economist, Carles Puigdemont admitted that 48% of the vote was not enough for pro-independence forces in the region to declare independence unilaterally.

"When I spoke of post-autonomy and pre-independence", the new First Minister said during his interview on TV3: "that lapsus of time in which we are in, do we have enough support and democratic legitimacy to start down that path. Absolutely yes".

"Do we have enough support to proclaim the independence of Catalonia with this combination in parliament? Not yet."

Mr. Puigdemont said the new plan was to try to create a Catalan constitution that Catalans could vote on in a referendum "to constitute the Catalan republic" at the end of an 18-month consultation process.

"The aim of this participative process, of the parliamentary process, to approve the constitution, is that, in the referendum, a part, a good part, a majority of people who would have voted 'no' in an independence referendum vote 'yes' to a constitution in which they can feel much more identified than they do in the Spanish Constitution."

In the original separatist plan approved by Junts Pel Sí before the regional elections on September 27, a declaration of independence from Spain came after an initial consultation and negotiation process but well before the creation of a Catalan constitution and a vote on that new basic law in a referendum.

 

https://www.thespainreport.com/articles/584-160115120616-puigdemont-shifts-separatist-goal-posts-from-declaration-of-independence-to-catalan-constitution

I još jedan detalj:

Puigdemont caused a stir when he took office in a ceremony on Tuesday without swearing allegiance to the Spanish king or the constitution.
 
http://af.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idAFKCN0UT186?pageNumber=2&virtualBrandChannel=0

[borris_]

Teroristicki napad u Uagadugu, Burkina Faso. AlKaida Sahel je preuzela odgovornost za napad. Troje terorista su prvo izresetali kafic pa su usli u hotel Splandid i tamo se zabakidirali.

[Eraserhead]

AP: BREAKING: U.N nuclear agency says Iran has met commitments in landmark nuclear deal with 6 world powers.

[vememah]

Velika većina građana Španije je protiv novih izbora i misle da je to što niko pojedinačno nema većinu u skupštini pozitivno.

 

Od 4 najveće stranke po tom istraživanju jedino Socijalisti blago padaju u odnosu na izborni rezultat (-0,9 pp), najviše rastu Sijudadanos (+2,7 pp) i Podemos (+1,8 pp), dok Narodnjaci manje-više ostaju na istom (+0,3 pp).

 

According to the monthly opinion poll from Metroscopia published by El Pais newspaper, only 33 percent of voters favor a new election while 61 percent prefer to see an agreement between the parties.

Asked whether the lack of a majority for any party was a good or bad thing, 61 percent said they saw it as positive.
...
The PP and Podemos would be the main winners in any rerun of the election as they would see their support edge higher, respectively to 29 percent from 28.7 percent and to 22.5 percent from 20.7 percent.

The PSOE would come third as it would fall to 21.1 percent from 22 percent. Ciudadanos would remain fourth although it would rebound to 16.6 percent from 13.9 percent in December.

The poll was carried out between Jan. 12 and 14 among 1,200 people.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-spain-politics-idUSKCN0UV09P?rpc=401
 

[Prospero]

World faces wave of epic debt defaults, fears central bank veteran

 

Exclusive: Situation worse than it was in 2007, says chairman of the OECD's review committee

 

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, in Davos

9:00PM GMT 19 Jan 2016

 

 

The global financial system has become dangerously unstable and faces an avalanche of bankruptcies that will test social and political stability, a leading monetary theorist has warned.

 

"The situation is worse than it was in 2007. Our macroeconomic ammunition to fight downturns is essentially all used up," said William White, the Swiss-based chairman of the OECD's review committee and former chief economist of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). 

 

"Debts have continued to build up over the last eight years and they have reached such levels in every part of the world that they have become a potent cause for mischief," he said.

 

"It will become obvious in the next recession that many of these debts will never be serviced or repaid, and this will be uncomfortable for a lot of people who think they own assets that are worth something," he told The Telegraph on the eve of the World Economic Forum in Davos.

 

"The only question is whether we are able to look reality in the eye and face what is coming in an orderly fashion, or whether it will be disorderly. Debt jubilees have been going on for 5,000 years, as far back as the Sumerians."

 

The next task awaiting the global authorities is how to manage debt write-offs - and therefore a massive reordering of winners and losers in society - without setting off a political storm.

 

Mr White said Europe's creditors are likely to face some of the biggest haircuts. European banks have already admitted to $1 trillion of non-performing loans: they are heavily exposed to emerging markets and are almost certainly rolling over further bad debts that have never been disclosed.

The European banking system may have to be recapitalized on a scale yet unimagined, and new "bail-in" rules mean that any deposit holder above the guarantee of €100,000 will have to help pay for it.

The warnings have special resonance since Mr White was one of the very few voices in the central banking fraternity who stated loudly and clearly between 2005 and 2008 that Western finance was riding for a fall, and that the global economy was susceptible to a violent crisis.

Mr White said stimulus from quantitative easing and zero rates by the big central banks after the Lehman crisis leaked out across east Asia and emerging markets, stoking credit bubbles and a surge in dollar borrowing that was hard to control in a world of free capital flows.

The result is that these countries have now been drawn into the morass as well. Combined public and private debt has surged to all-time highs to 185pc of GDP in emerging markets and to 265pc of GDP in the OECD club, both up by 35 percentage points since the top of the last credit cycle in 2007.

"Emerging markets were part of the solution after the Lehman crisis. Now they are part of the problem too," Mr White said.

Mr White, who also chief author of G30's recent report on the post-crisis future of central banking, said it is impossible know what the trigger will be for the next crisis since the global system has lost its anchor and is inherently prone to breakdown.

A Chinese devaluation clearly has the potential to metastasize. "Every major country is engaged in currency wars even though they insist that QE has nothing to do with competitive depreciation. They have all been playing the game except for China - so far - and it is a zero-sum game. China could really up the ante."

  

Mr White said QE and easy money policies by the US Federal Reserve and its peers have had the effect of bringing spending forward from the future in what is known as "inter-temporal smoothing". It becomes a toxic addiction over time and ultimately loses traction. In the end, the future catches up with you. "By definition, this means you cannot spend the money tomorrow," he said.

A reflex of "asymmetry" began when the Fed injected too much stimulus to prevent a purge after the 1987 crash. The authorities have since allowed each boom to run its course - thinking they could safely clean up later - while responding to each shock with alacrity. The BIS critique is that this has led to a perpetual easing bias, with interest rates falling ever further below their "Wicksellian natural rate" with each credit cycle.

 

The error was compounded in the 1990s when China and eastern Europe suddenly joined the global economy, flooding the world with cheap exports in a "positive supply shock". Falling prices of manufactured goods masked the rampant asset inflation that was building up. "Policy makers were seduced into inaction by a set of comforting beliefs, all of which we now see were false. They believed that if inflation was under control, all was well," he said.

In retrospect, central banks should have let the benign deflation of this (temporary) phase of globalisation run its course. By stoking debt bubbles, they have instead incubated what may prove to be a more malign variant, a classic 1930s-style "Fisherite" debt-deflation.

Mr White said the Fed is now in a horrible quandary as it tries to extract itself from QE and right the ship again. "It is a debt trap. Things are so bad that there is no right answer. If they raise rates it'll be nasty. If they don't raise rates, it just makes matters worse," he said.

There is no easy way out of this tangle. But Mr White said it would be a good start for governments to stop depending on central banks to do their dirty work. They should return to fiscal primacy - call it Keynesian, if you wish - and launch an investment blitz on infrastructure that pays for itself through higher growth.

"It was always dangerous to rely on central banks to sort out a solvency problem when all they can do is tackle liquidity problems. It is a recipe for disorder, and now we are hitting the limit," he said.

 

[Аврам Гојић]

Na osnovu pozicije, ne bih rekao da je ovaj lik histericni doomsayer, ne?

[Prospero]

Nope.

 

Etalon čoveka iz centra sistema.

Edited January 20, 2016 by Prospero

[Budja]

Sa druge strane, Ambrose Evan Pritchard je novinar koji voli da bude u centru paznje.

 

No, ja se uglavnom slazem sa ovim tipom, no nije mi jasno kako bi to kejnzijanski fidkalni deficiti pomogao - i to neko treba da finansira. On zapravo misli da je pare trebalo da se pumpaju u domace investicije umesto kroz finansijski sistem u emerging  country assets.

[Desmond Bojčinski]

Neredi u Moldaviji posle izbora pro-EU vlade. Civili probili kordon bez bagera i uleteli u parlament