vememah Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 (edited) 03:00 Fifth forecast update My predictions continue to be much more pessimistic for Remain than the betting markets, though they seem to be in between estimates from Michael Thrasher and JP Morgan. Predicted probability of Britain Remaining: 0 (81 of 382 areas reporting.) Predicted vote share for Remain: 47.1 percent. (90% prediction interval: 46.1 to 48.1 percent) https://medium.com/@chrishanretty/eu-referendum-rolling-forecasts-1a625014af55#.7r2xsipd7 Edited June 24, 2016 by vememah Link to comment
dragance Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 Prva stvar, osim samog rezultata, će biti koliko je UKIPova kampanja odvalila od Laburista po provinciji. Labour je totalno promasio kampanju. Sadik Kan je bio dosta bolji, ali Corbyn je uzas. On ni sam ne zna za sta je (u proslosti je bio protiv EU). Link to comment
Dr Arslanagić Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 Oldham leave, 65k - 42k užasni rezultati u Greater Manchesteru i Lancashireu, LAB propo Link to comment
vememah Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 A evo i ta dva linkovana tvita: Link to comment
Dr Arslanagić Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 Oldham leave, 65k - 42k užasni rezultati u Greater Manchesteru i Lancashireu, LAB propo Rochdale, slični procenti... Labour heartland. Link to comment
vememah Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 (edited) Evo polako stiže i na glavne medije. Objašnjava njihov analitičar, kaže u odnosu na 50:50 model Leave stoji bolje par procenata gotovo svugde. Edited June 24, 2016 by vememah Link to comment
Dr Arslanagić Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 Coventry leave, 85k-68k Link to comment
vememah Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 Sad je 250.000 razlike za Leave, prešli su 51%. Link to comment
Eraserhead Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 Odose Briti. Drugaciji svet sutra. Link to comment
Dr Arslanagić Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 Šefild glasao out... gotovo je. Link to comment
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