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Lična prognoza: afd će biti ispod projektovanog. Ne mnogo ali ispod. Strah od rusa > strah od migranata. Otud i ovo Mercovo sasipanje™ u lice. Zna u dušu demohrišćanina koji voli fudbal, pivo i brz autoput. 

  On 18. 2. 2025. at 19:30, burekdzija said:

Oni su kp ddr—a. 

ono nasi JULovci taj tip.

Je ovo znači da je u Ukrajini optužen za krivično delo napada na policiju i da ga zato Ukrajina traži nazad?

 

  Quote

Dem Mann wurde vorgeworfen, bei einer Blutentnahme in einem ukrainischen Krankenhaus einen Polizisten bedroht und körperlich angegriffen zu haben.

 

 

Skoro sam naleteo na ovaj tekst o statistici napada i izveštavanju. Na nemačkom je, ali verovatno auto-translate radi posao

https://www.volksverpetzer.de/analyse/manipuliert-ueber-messerangriffe/?utm_source=mstdn

 

Ali možda je dovoljna slika - na levoj strani je izveštavanje televizije i novina o naslinim zločinima. Roze su dođoši, plavo su staaari Nemci. A sa desne strane su podaci narodne milicije o takvim slučajevima.

 

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  On 21. 2. 2025. at 19:39, Engineer said:

Skoro sam naleteo na ovaj tekst o statistici napada i izveštavanju. Na nemačkom je, ali verovatno auto-translate radi posao

https://www.volksverpetzer.de/analyse/manipuliert-ueber-messerangriffe/?utm_source=mstdn

 

Ali možda je dovoljna slika - na levoj strani je izveštavanje televizije i novina o naslinim zločinima. Roze su dođoši, plavo su staaari Nemci. A sa desne strane su podaci narodne milicije o takvim slučajevima.

 

bafkreiddgkdjy5n3ugqf63upeamu2joxb7dkpq4

 

podseti me (hvala za ovo), pre neki dan je izašla studija o vezi između stope kriminala i migracija:

 

DW: Study: Immigration has not raised German crime rate

 

u tekstu DW se izmedju ostalog kaže:

 

Migrants tend to settle in urban areas, where there is more population density, more nightlife, and more people in public spaces at all hours of the day. That means the general crime rate is higher, and crime suspects are just as likely to be German as of foreign background. In other words, districts with higher levels of "immigrant" crime also have higher crime rates among Germans.

...

 

Much-reported attacks by people of immigrant background in Munich, Aschaffenburg, and Magdeburg have fueled this popular narrative, but statistical studies draw a very different picture.

"Even for violent crimes such as homicide or sexual assault, the study shows no statistical correlation with an increasing share of foreigners or refugees," the ifo researchers said.

...

 

Dirk Baier of the ZHAW also said that other studies have shown there many other reasons why immigrants appear more often in police crime statistics: For instance, it appears that charges are pressed less often when there is a German perpetrator and a German victim than when there is an immigrant perpetrator and a German victim.

 

"That might have something to do with xenophobic attitudes, it might be something to do with the fact in certain situations people can't find other ways to deal with conflicts — maybe because you can't communicate in the same language," said Baier. "We don't know, but the likelihood that an immigrant perpetrator will appear in the statistics is higher."

Zadnjih nekoliko anketa:

 

Reveal hidden contents

 

Jedva čekam rezultate. Mislim da su omasili ovaj put.

Böhmermann svetu via New York Times

Ako FDP stvarno ostane ispod crte častim ceo forum lajkovima.

  On 21. 2. 2025. at 19:39, Engineer said:

Skoro sam naleteo na ovaj tekst o statistici napada i izveštavanju. Na nemačkom je, ali verovatno auto-translate radi posao

https://www.volksverpetzer.de/analyse/manipuliert-ueber-messerangriffe/?utm_source=mstdn

 

Ali možda je dovoljna slika - na levoj strani je izveštavanje televizije i novina o naslinim zločinima. Roze su dođoši, plavo su staaari Nemci. A sa desne strane su podaci narodne milicije o takvim slučajevima.

 

bafkreiddgkdjy5n3ugqf63upeamu2joxb7dkpq4

 

Pokazao si bias novina, ali takodje, i da imigranti iznadprosecno vrse nasilne zlocine. Ne verujem da su 1/3 stanovnistva imigranti.

Možda, ali ne znam koliko. Preskočio si Dunjin post

 

  On 22. 2. 2025. at 14:11, dunja said:

Dirk Baier of the ZHAW also said that other studies have shown there many other reasons why immigrants appear more often in police crime statistics: For instance, it appears that charges are pressed less often when there is a German perpetrator and a German victim than when there is an immigrant perpetrator and a German victim.

 

"That might have something to do with xenophobic attitudes, it might be something to do with the fact in certain situations people can't find other ways to deal with conflicts — maybe because you can't communicate in the same language," said Baier. "We don't know, but the likelihood that an immigrant perpetrator will appear in the statistics is higher."

 

A zapravo 30% stanovništva jesu imigranti ili stranog porekla, mada ne znam šta i kada ulazi u ove statistike, tj. gde spada prva generacija rođena i odrasla u Nemačkoj.

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