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Iran: novi front

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Dobar insight o americkoj politici i poziciji u ovom sukobu..

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  • pt 2.0
    pt 2.0

    nije nas niko "pritisnuo" nego je u okviru velike akcije repatrijacije isluženog nuklearnog goriva iz nekoliko zemalja istočne evrope nazad u rusiju i naše isluženo gorivo završilo tamo odakle je i do

  • theanswer
    theanswer

  • Hermetico
    Hermetico

    Juče sam držao onlajn čas mojim malim Persijancima. Znamo se, pa sam iscimao mamu njihovu da je pitam kako su. Ispričali smo se, koliko je bila u stanju da priča. Strašno je, ne mogu da se opasulje. S

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3 minutes ago, vememah said:

Zar neće svaki napredni anti aircraft system biti prva meta budućih izraelskih bombi? Da je rekao advanced solar farm, pa i da poverujemo

To samo znači da mora još da se bombarduje, sve je pod kontrolom. Cirkus, jbt...

Edited by Rudolf Pingvinoglu

16 minutes ago, Budja said:

Sponsored by AIPAC and Wolf Blitzer.

.

Le Monde pise nesto slicno.

Pod uslovom postojeceg politickog resenja.. 6 nedelja za 9 kaskada IR 6, obogacivanje do oruzanog nivoa jos 60 dana...

Sve zajedno max 5 meseci..

Tako tvrdi njihov ekspert.

.

Edited by barba

6 minutes ago, barba said:

.

Le Monde pise nesto slicno.

Pod uslovom postojeceg politickog resenja.. 6 nedelja za 9 kaskada IR 6, obogacivanje do oruzanog nivoa jos 60 dana...

Sve zajedno max 5 meseci..

Tako tvrdi njihov ekspert.

.

Nema šanse da oni precizno znaju koliko je unazađen iranski program...verujem da su saznali da je taj materijal bio izmešten (možda su znali i pre napada), a ovo sad je neko nagađanje i verovatno priprema za buduće akcije.

Edited by Rudolf Pingvinoglu

Dzaba AIPAC gura narativ, USA je vec izasla. Siguran sam i da bi Izrael tek najebo ako opet krene razmena a nema USA flotile da mu pomaze u skidanju raketa.

Jedino me plasi da ludi Bibi ne krene opet za godinu dana kad obnovi zalihe PVO.

Edited by Shan Jan

qaani1.jpg

dakle, biće još bušenja bombama po iranu, ali ovo je bibijevo poslednje

Jbt, preletiš pola sveta u avionima vrednim 14 MILIJARDI, rokneš bombe po kamenčinama, oprljiš im predsoblje.

Well done, Mr. Trump.

17 minutes ago, Šumejker-Levi 9 said:

Jbt, preletiš pola sveta u avionima vrednim 14 MILIJARDI, rokneš bombe po kamenčinama, oprljiš im predsoblje.

Well done, Mr. Trump.

Uuuuu Doni, sta ti rekli za kevu ej...

Malo drugačijeg viđenja:

https://x.com/PezeshkiCharles/status/1937609077548630458

Tizeri:

The nuclear program in Iran is a paranoid fantasy of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and the mullahs, who like all disordered religious leaders, dream of the apocalypse. The various scientists participate, I believe, somewhat reluctantly. And as with all hostage situations, implicit or explicit, their mania is tempered. And especially so — regardless of whether sites like Fordow have been completely destroyed, you might imagine being a nuclear scientist and walking into that venue and seeing what had to be massive destruction. It’s not going to fire you up to repeat the B-2 scenario on your head. This time, you just got lucky. And for those true believers, there are Mossad agents circulating, anxious to put a bullet in your brain.

One of the other prevailing myths circulating in the argument about Iran is the notion “if we bomb it, they already know how to build it, so they’ll just build it back.” That is emphatically not true — and I’ll put my engineering professor-working in nuclear nonproliferation hat to address it. The most important thing to understand is that there is no new tech in creating a nuclear weapon. Making them small is another thing entirely. But since 1945, the world has known how to make nuclear fire.

The problem with making one, though, is that it requires a complex manufacturing operation to create enough fissile material to make a bomb. And that requires social cohesion and coordination. One of the wildest things I learned about making nuclear weapons is the delivery system is only a modest part of the problem. If you create a bomb, you can load it on a 747, fly it into any major airport, and detonate it. The real problem is creating enough fissile material. And that requires a complex supply chain — with lots of people talking to each other, in a coordinated fashion. Hardly a trivial problem in such a factionalized country, as I’ve described above. When you add a dollop of Mossad agents into the mix, your odds of success drop precipitously. It’s not that it can’t be done. Pakistan showed that it could. But it is non-trivial.

The images in the press of a monolithic culture immediately recovering and pulling this off are false. There is no overarching enemy that most Iranians view in fact. Only the mullahs chanting “Death to America”. All the rest of the Iranian elite want to move to L.A. 700,000 already live there. One of the most taboo subjects to discuss in the US is the effect of brain drain on underdeveloped parts of the world, to developed nations. Do you really think that the 700,000 Iranians living in L.A. were formally peasants in Iran? How might that affect the current dynamic?

O autoru:

https://mme.wsu.edu/mme-personnel/wsu-profile/pezeshki/

Edited by vememah

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