Budja Posted October 21 Posted October 21 2 minutes ago, Luther said: Pa nije dobro i nije rešen problem. Porediš elementarnu nepogodu i svesno izabrani disfunkcionalni sistem. A valjda može i malo bolje od toga šta je ko rekao na pijaci. Ne, ti to poredis. Stos je u tome sto kolaps energetskog sistema u Ekvadoru NIJE plod elementarne nepogode, vec oni koji bi da opravdaju -izam (i vlade bankara i bananamena Noboe) to tvrde , plus tvrde da je problem u onome sto je Korea radio 2010. 3
Luther Posted October 21 Posted October 21 7 minutes ago, Budja said: Ne, ti to poredis. Stos je u tome sto kolaps energetskog sistema u Ekvadoru NIJE plod elementarne nepogode, vec oni koji bi da opravdaju -izam (i vlade bankara i bananamena Noboe) to tvrde , plus tvrde da je problem u onome sto je Korea radio 2010. Pa sad ako ti najgora suša u proteklih 60 godina, a 77% električne energije dobijate iz hidroelektrana, nije elementarna nepogoda onda ništa. Plus valjda i Kinezi kasne sa nekom hidrocentralom. A naravno da će pored toga da optužuje prethodnike, to svi rade. Nego porediti bedu na Kubi sa bilo čime u okruženju mi je nekako bez veze.
Budja Posted October 21 Posted October 21 1 hour ago, Luther said: Pa sad ako ti najgora suša u proteklih 60 godina, a 77% električne energije dobijate iz hidroelektrana, nije elementarna nepogoda onda ništa. Plus valjda i Kinezi kasne sa nekom hidrocentralom. A naravno da će pored toga da optužuje prethodnike, to svi rade. Nego porediti bedu na Kubi sa bilo čime u okruženju mi je nekako bez veze. Svaka susa ce bti elementarna nepogoda, ako imas rast potrosnje a u poslednjih sedam godina od odlaska Koree ne dodas ni 1MW u sistem, a plus imas Grcice u EPS pa tako ni najosnovnije odrzavanje termoelektrana ne postoji. A vidim da citas libertarijanske izvore i oko Kineza i oko suse i oko, je l da, nedivirsifikovanih izvora energjie. Ne kasne Kineza sa hidroeletranom vec ta kineska hidrolelektrana iz 2016., Coca Codo Sinclair, daje 50% energije trenutno. Druga kineska, Toachi Pilaton, ne kasni zbog Kineza, vec zato su pametnjakovici Moreno, Laso i Noboa obustavili finansiranje radova pa su sad, navrat-nanos, ponovo aktivirali zavrsavanje te hidroelektrane. Sto se hidro tice, naravno da je Korea forsirao hidro kao najjeftiniji izvor energije i naravno da se vodilo racuna o tome da se hidroelektrane grade tako da padavine budu diversifikovane - Coca Codo Sinclair je u sasvim drugo slivu od kompleksa Mazar-Paute, ali tvoji izvori ce ti to takodje precutati. Plus, postoji fond termoelektrana za ne daj boze, ali kako iste ne rade, jer, kako sam pomenuo u prethodnom pasusu, nema odrzavanja, onda je ovo sto se desava logicno. Inace, 2015 je Ekvador bio peti na listi UN po energetskoj sigurnosti u svetu, takodje nesto sto ti nece preneti tvoji izvori. 3
NiZdr Posted October 21 Posted October 21 Ево и у Нигерији за недељу дана 3. распад електромреже. Очигледно да ни сурови капитализам не помаже нешто.
Budja Posted October 22 Posted October 22 5 hours ago, NiZdr said: Ево и у Нигерији за недељу дана 3. распад електромреже. Очигледно да ни сурови капитализам не помаже нешто. E, ali Kuba i Ce i Kastro, to je vise atraktivno. Ovo za Nigeriju od 100 i kusur miliona niko ni ne pomine, ja nisam znao. 2
Budja Posted October 23 Posted October 23 In Memoriam Gustavo Gutierez, osnivac teologije oslobodjenja. Trn u oku Vojtili, Opus Dei i slicnima. Uzasno vazna knjiga i koncept za razumevanje Latinske Amerika, i tipa levice u njoj, kao i struja u katolickoj crkvi. Liberation theology icon and champion of the poor Gutiérrez dies
Shan Jan Posted October 24 Posted October 24 On 1. 6. 2024. at 13:11, Shan Jan said: Sa 99% prebrojanih glasova, prakticno su zavrseni nacionalni i lokalni izbori u Juznoafrickoj Republici. Oko 60% ljudi je glasalo. ANC, koji vlada od pada aparthejda, se srucio na 40% sa 57% koliko su imali na prethodnim izborima i 65% koliko su imali 2009. Ipak, treba reci da je najveca prava opoziciona partija, DA, ostala prakticno na istom rezultatu kao i na prethodnim izborima - 22%. Glasovi su otisli MK, koju vodi Zuma, covek koji je upravo i predvodio ispred ANC raspad JAR u zadnjih 10tak godina. Slicno, kao kad je ranije krenulo trvenje u ANC pa se odcepio EFF koji vodi Melema, nekadasnji lider podmladka ANC. Razlog zasto DA nije dobila vise glasova moze da se trazi u tome da ih i dalje bije glas da su belacka partija (za njih uglavnom glasaju belci, mesanci i uopsteno necrnci). Sa druge strane Zului (jedan od 15 glavnih naroda u JAR) uglavnom glasaju horski za svog kandidata a Zuma je Zulu. Dakle sta imamo: 40% ANC - Partija koja jase na antiaparthejd borbi ali je vec odavno postala meka za korupciju koja unistava zemlju. 22% DA - Uglavnom necrnacka opozicija koja odavno drzi West Cape provinciju (jedina gde su crnci manjina) i vecito se bori za vlast u Gautengu (srce zemlje u svakom smilu, najmnogoljudnija i najjaca provncija, gde su i ovaj put izgubili od ANC). 15% MK - Nepoznata Zulu partija koja je stala iza bivseg predsednika Zume. 10% EFF - Partija koju vodi Melema, poznata po radikalnom programu (oduzimanje imovine belcima, nacionalizacija vecine industrije, proterivanje crnaca koji nisu rodom iz JAR i sl.) i koji su u proslosti bili vrlo spremni na nasilje. 4% IFP - Ova partija se svaki izbor krece u ovim nekim procentima, po onom sto pricaju deluju normalci ali ne znam dovoljno o njima. DA sigurno nece praviti koaliciju sa MK ili EFF (prve zbog Zume koga najvise okrivljuju iz opozicije a druge zbog antibelacke retorike). Zbog toga je izvesno da ce vlast praviti ANC sa nekim. Par mogucih scenarija: ANC i MK - ovo je prakticno stari ANC sa Zumom i zato je gotovo izvesno da se to nece desiti. ANC i EFF - verovatno koalicija koje se svi najvise plase i koja bi jos vise oterala zemlju u haos jer bi ANC nastavio sa korupcijom, samo bi sada dodali i ustupke nekim ekstremnim EFF idejama koje bi unistile ekonomiju. ANC i DA - ovo je bilo nemoguce za pretpostaviti ranije, medjutim sada svi pricaju o tome. Ipak, da bi se to desilo, DA ce verovatno traziti ustupke u smislu da se skloni Ramafoza, lider ANC na losem glasu zbog korupcije, kao i dosta prava u vladi. Cekaju nas vrlo bitne odluke, koje ce uticati ne samo na JAR nego i na ceo jug Afrike. Da i ja sam sebe citiram Nakon izbora u junu brzo je oformljena vlada koju predvode ANC i DA uz IFP. U prevodu, bivsi precednik Zuma koji je u fajtu sa ANC je ispusio, kao i ludi EFF koji vodi Melema. Berze su dobro reagovale, no kako to sve izgleda u praksi posle 100 dana? Dole je podugacki tekst ali TLDR je da se DA i ANC kolju bukvalno oko svega. Zemlja je u raspadu, struje vise nema nego sto ima, kriminal je i dalje najgori u svetu, desetine miliona ljudi su i dalje bez posla i na ivici gladi, biznisi se i dalje muce da uopste funkcionisu, tu su i strajkovi koji paralisu vec paralisanu zemlju... DA koji prevashodno cine belci i generalno bolje stojeci sloj ostalih grupa zeli da fokus bude na obezbedjivanju infrastrukture i para za funkcionisanje ekonomije, ANC zeli da daje vise podsticaja za siromasne i nezaposlene. Mozda je najveci problem sto se u samom ANC nista nije promenilo, Ramafoza koji je bio predvodnik korupcije je i dalje predsednik. Ovo znaci da se korupcija koja je zaista apsolutno najveci problem JAR nece resavati. U najboljem slucaju ce ekonomija kako tako profunkcionisati ali kriminal, nejednakost i siromastvo ce ostati. U gorem slucaju sledi jos veci raspad. https://www.dw.com/en/south-africa-government-of-national-unity-accused-of-lacking-cohesive-policy-plan/a-70430152 Quote South Africa's unity government — are voters happy? Martina Schwikowski 10/08/2024October 8, 2024 The first 100 days of the Government of National Unity (GNU) have given South Africans some hope. But amid a lot of infighting, there is no cohesive policy plan to lift the country out of an economic crisis. https://p.dw.com/p/4lW6C Over a thirds of all South Africans - mostly young people - are unemployed and struggleing to make a livingImage: Nic Bothma/EPA-EFE South Africa's Government of National Unity (GNU) has passed its first milestone, reaching 100 days since it was announced in June 2024. Many are taking this moment to reflect on its success to date and its trajectory. With ten parties competing and vying for control, power and leadership in this unique experiment in South Africa's young democracy, the stakes are high. The biggest test for the new government is perhaps South Africa's economic outlook amid sky-high unemployment; over 11 million people are in need of jobs in the country, with almost half of all young people out of work. Combined with the rising cost of living, the poorest of the poor remain worried while struggling to feed their families. Trade union COSATU has called for a nationwide strike to protest the high cost of living and unemployment Image: Esa Alexander/REUTERS Between hope and despair South Africa's biggest trade union, COSATU, has called for a nationwide strike, with marches held across the country this week in response to the lack of progress against joblessness and retrenchments three months into the leadership of the new government. While abroad, confidence in South Africa has been rising since the announcement of the GNU, the strikes called by COSATU have dampened the mood in the country. Analyst Sandile Swana told DW in an interview that South Africans should celebrate the fact that the country has broken out of the monopoly of power held by the African National Congress (ANC) for three decades rather than focusing on the slow pace of progress. "There are many risks and there are a lot of opportunities, but it will not be an automatic success, it is going to be a lot of work", he stressed, adding that the country had finally entered an age of competitive, multiparty democracy. The strikes called by COSATU, which historically has kept close relations with the ANC, are likely indicative of the overall mood in the country when it comes to the ANC. Nelson Mandela's liberation party suffered its worst election defeat in the May elections, dropping to just over 40% of the vote. However, President Cyril Ramaphosa retained his position after forming a coalition with the pro-business Democratic Alliance (DA), the single biggest opposition party, as well as several other smaller parties. Some had hoped that with such little support, Ramaphosa would have handed the reins over to someone else to revitalize the ANC — a party which for years has been run by the same group of senior politicians at its top-tier levels, who nearly each seem to have been involved in some corruption scandal. Lack of a comprehensive policy plan Swana noted that against the backdrop of years of stagnation under the ANC, the GNU and all the parties that are involved in it are seen as actively trying to affect change while stressing that this alone is not an achievement in and of itself and that presenting it as such would be unfair. He highlighted that the lack of a comprehensive policy plan at the heart of the GNU to move the country forward was the biggest issue, claiming that the GNU was primarily beholden to business and industry rather than the people on the ground. "There is a bit of optimism, but we need a plan that belongs to the nation. A clique is running the country at the moment, determined by big business," he said. Swana stressed that in the first 100 days, no one in the new government had made any comments about the most pressing issues in the country: sufficient energy supply, infrastructure failures, the fight against rampant crime and corruption, not to mention unemployment. This, he says, makes it difficult to measure the performance of the GNU, while acknowledging that such big challenges cannot simply be solved in just 100 days. South Africa remains one of the most unequal societies in the worldImage: McPHOTO/blickwinkel/picture alliance ANC and DA: a marriage of inconvenience Furthermore, there are considerable conflicts within the GNU that are making headlines. Recently, there have been political discrepancies about the implementation of the National Health Insurance (NHI) bill, the biggest change to South Africa's public health system in decades. The main opponent, the DA, argues that the NHI will be bad for business. Further clashes between the DA and the ANC include differences in opinion on the Primary Education Bill, which even resulted in the removal of a local DA mayor in Tshwane (Pretoria). Through all these disagreements, however, the ANC appears to suffer the most, unable to find a cohesive voice within itself or within the context of the GNU. Some measurable progress According to Swana, there are at least some areas where measurable progress has occurred in recent months, including logistics, transportation of goods, public transportation with new trains, and improvements at the country's main ports. The Department of Home Affairs, run by the DA, meanwhile, has also introduced a comprehensive plan to address years of backlog in various applications, from visas to work permits to passports. Generally speaking, there are more MPs visiting their constituents, and there are more ministers paying attention to their portfolios, like Labor Minister Nomakhosazana Meth, who has been inspecting businesses in certain areas more frequently. But DW correspondent Thuso Khumalo in Johannesburg agrees that the new government needs to be even more visible to people on the ground if it wants to gain their trust and support. According to Khumalo, people see that the GNU is slowly moving things forward, "but people have higher expectations: social delivery is not as fast as needed." "People ... are still not employed; they are still facing crime in their communities," Khumalo added. President Cyril Ramaphosa's ANC formed a coalition with the DA Image: South African GCIS/AP/picture alliance Booming business — for now Political analyst Daniel Silke told DW that the bottom line is that the mood in the country has improved since the GNU was first announced and that this could also be attractive to investors. "The fact that the GNU comprises the ANC together with centrist political parties while excluding the extremist side of the political equation in South Africa ... is seen as more business-friendly." "Foreign investors are certainly looking more positively at South Africa while still sitting on the sidelines to wait to see whether the GNU is more than just an elite agreement", Silke said. "This was the best possible outcome under the circumstances, and had therefore a boosting effect on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) and also, to some degree, in the strengthening of the [South African] Rand." The Rand is 7.5% stronger; the bond market has strengthened by 11%; and the JSE's main index is up by over 10% since the new government took over, according to business reports. However, Silke echoes Swana's views that the announcement of a substantive policy adjustment in South Africa is what has been missing over the last 100 days: "It really has been more of a window-dressing exercise to create a better image, but the nuts and bolts of where South Africa should be in terms of economic policy remain somewhat elusive." 1
Mel Posted October 24 Posted October 24 1 hour ago, Shan Jan said: Da i ja sam sebe citiram Nakon izbora u junu brzo je oformljena vlada koju predvode ANC i DA uz IFP. U prevodu, bivsi precednik Zuma koji je u fajtu sa ANC je ispusio, kao i ludi EFF koji vodi Melema. Berze su dobro reagovale, no kako to sve izgleda u praksi posle 100 dana? Dole je podugacki tekst ali TLDR je da se DA i ANC kolju bukvalno oko svega. Zemlja je u raspadu, struje vise nema nego sto ima, kriminal je i dalje najgori u svetu, desetine miliona ljudi su i dalje bez posla i na ivici gladi, biznisi se i dalje muce da uopste funkcionisu, tu su i strajkovi koji paralisu vec paralisanu zemlju... DA koji prevashodno cine belci i generalno bolje stojeci sloj ostalih grupa zeli da fokus bude na obezbedjivanju infrastrukture i para za funkcionisanje ekonomije, ANC zeli da daje vise podsticaja za siromasne i nezaposlene. Mozda je najveci problem sto se u samom ANC nista nije promenilo, Ramafoza koji je bio predvodnik korupcije je i dalje predsednik. Ovo znaci da se korupcija koja je zaista apsolutno najveci problem JAR nece resavati. U najboljem slucaju ce ekonomija kako tako profunkcionisati ali kriminal, nejednakost i siromastvo ce ostati. U gorem slucaju sledi jos veci raspad. https://www.dw.com/en/south-africa-government-of-national-unity-accused-of-lacking-cohesive-policy-plan/a-70430152 Kakva je Juzna Afrika u poredjenju sa Bocvanom gde si ti bio? Sad vidim Bocvana oko 2.5 miliona ljudi, a Juzna Afrika 65 miliona. Verovatno ako nista samo zbog toga nije za poredjenje...
Shan Jan Posted October 24 Posted October 24 3 minutes ago, Mel said: Kakva je Juzna Afrika u poredjenju sa Bocvanom gde si ti bio? Sad vidim Bocvana oko 2.5 miliona ljudi, a Juzna Afrika 65 miliona. Verovatno ako nista samo zbog toga nije za poredjenje... Puno je slicnosti. Uvezeni ko Srbija i CG ali je Bocvana bolja u svemu, mada ne drasticno. 1
zorglub Posted October 24 Posted October 24 Sreo belog Južnoafrikanca letos na Zmaju, stao da pita za put, ispričasmo se dok sam mu šerovao net da skine ofline mape. Ubeđuje me kako vestima o kriminalu i krizi ne treba verovati, kako je sve kul i normalno dole. Kaže da ima 60. godina, a izgleda bolje nego ja. Ništa mu ne verujem. 1
Mel Posted October 24 Posted October 24 17 minutes ago, Shan Jan said: Pa ono, juznoafrikancu je verovatno sve to normalno Moja neka rodjaka koja zivi u Juznoj Africi je pre nekoliko godina presla u neki od tih zatvorenih compaund naselja koliko sam ukapirala. Ti tu zivis, pretpostavljam da ide uz neke uslove, a patroliraju neki naoruzani ogromni Buri i tako to funkcionise. Ona je htela da se odseli pre vise godina kad je krenulo sve to al prosto nije imala kako to da izvede, izgurala je ovako, ali daleko je to sve od neke normale. 2
Luther Posted October 25 Posted October 25 13 hours ago, Budja said: Kako vam se cini ovaj BRICS samit? Deluje kao diplomatsko-propagandni uspeh. Erdogan, Gutierez... + Modi i brat Si na jednom mestu + Saudi Arabija i Iran na jednom mestu. Ključne članice BRIKS-a rekle „ne“ Putinovoj ideji: Moskovski tajms o pitanju koje je unelo razdor u Kazanju Ne liči baš na neki diplomatsko-propagandni uspeh osim možda u Putinovim medijima.
kipo Posted October 25 Posted October 25 15 minutes ago, Luther said: Ključne članice BRIKS-a rekle „ne“ Putinovoj ideji: Moskovski tajms o pitanju koje je unelo razdor u Kazanju Ne liči baš na neki diplomatsko-propagandni uspeh osim možda u Putinovim medijima. Clanak je napisan navijacki, kao i svi sto se pisu poslednjih godina. Niko osim novinara ne pominje antizapadne stavove, a ista govna pitanja i odgovore formulisu dvosmisleno, pa imas brdo ovakvih: Quote Indija je, naročito, izrazila svoje neslaganje prema ideji transformacije BRIKS-a u „antiameričku organizaciju“, gde bi Rusija i Kina zauzele vodeće pozicije. Ujedinjeni Arapski Emirati takođe ne podržavaju ideju da članstvo u bloku znači protivljenje Zapadu. Predstavnici UAE naglasili su da njihova zemlja ima dobre odnose sa Zapadom, uključujući i Sjedinjene Države, i da članstvo u BRIKS-u ne smatraju opozicijom zapadnim državama. Uostalom, Quote Predlog Vladimira Putina iznet na samitu u Kazanju da se BRIKS (BRICS) pretvori u antizapadnu koaliciju koja bi mogla oslabiti globalnu hegemoniju dolara nije izazvao entuzijazam među ključnim članicama bloka ovaj predlog se jednostavno nije desio, odnosno bar DW i France24 nisu prenijeli da jeste a siguran sam da bi to izmuzli maksimalno, obzirom sta sve lupetaju njihovi analiticari. Ja nemam pojma o ekonomiji, kretanju novca i dr ali koliko sam pohvatao dolar je nemoguce zamijeniti i to uopste nije ideja, vec se pokusava smanjiti uticaj dolara kroz medjusobnu trgovinu u domacim valutama. Dobar analiticar na tu temu:
Budja Posted October 25 Posted October 25 6 hours ago, Luther said: Ne liči baš na neki diplomatsko-propagandni uspeh osim možda u Putinovim medijima. Ja sam mislio da sa Rusijom niko nece ni da sedne za sto, ono, sankcije, ratni zlocinac i tako to. U tom smislu naravno da je samo odrzavanje samita na najvisem nivou u Rusiji uspeh jer signalizira da Rusija nije izolovana. 1
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