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Skyhighatrist

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Sto se tice sledecih epidemija zoonoza -

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02341-1

 

Neki francuzi su pokazivali da otprilike 2 godine nakon svake kriticne epizode deforestacije krece pandemija zoonoze.

 

 

Inace, ovih dana neprekidno slusam od covid-relaxera kako je omicron poput najobicnijeg gripa, kako je to poslednji izdisaj krize jer je virus "shvatio" da mu ne odgovara da ubije hosta, da se treba zaraziti sto pre i slicne gluposti.

 

Covid spada u viruse koji se prenose tokom inkubacije, pre pojave simptoma. Jednom kad se prenese dalje, boli ga dupe sta ce biti sa hostom i hoce li ovaj preziveti ili ne. Drugim recima, moguce je da ce novi sojevi covida biti manje ubitacni, ali to nikako nije pravilo niti nesto s cim bi se trebalo kladiti. Mutacija je greska u prepisivanju. Sto se vise prepisuje, vece su sanse da do greske dodje. Namerno zarazavanje i dopustanje da se covid siri prakticno nekontrolisano (kao u vecem delu Evrope trenutno) upravo je najefikasniji nacin da se stvore nove mutacije.

 

A sto se tice smrtnosti od omicrona, dve stvari se konstantno zaboravljaju. Prvo, da je manja smrtnost u velikoj meri i posledica vakcinisanosti. Drugo, da je smrtnost samo relativno mala (bitno za one koji prezive), dok su apsolutni brojevi umrlih od omicrona i dalje ogromni (bitno, je li, za one koji umru). Kod mene u poslednja 2 dana 25 mrtvih. Tokom lockdowna, toliko je umiralo za 10 dana.

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https://rs.n1info.com/svet/vecina-medicinskog-dela-poljskog-tela-za-borbu-protiv-kovida-podnela-ostavke/

 

Više od dve trećine poljskog medicinskog savetodavnog tela za kovid-19 podnelo je ostavke navodeći da vlada nije poslušala njihove savete u odgovoru na pandemiju.

 

U saopštenju, 13 od 17 članova odbora je reklo da ne vide političku volju za uvođenjem optimalnih mera i „globalno testiranih metoda borbe protiv pandemije“.

Oni su se žalili i na „rastuću toleranciju“ u vladi prema državnim zvaničnicima koji umanjuju opasnost od pandemije ili potrebu za vakcinacijom.

Masovna ostavka dolazi nekoliko dana nakon što je regionalna zvaničnica za obrazovanje izazvala kritike jer je vakcinaciju protiv kovida-19 nazvala „eksperimentom“.

Desničarska vlada ignorisala je zahteve za njenu smenu.

 

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Expect more worrisome variants after omicron, scientists say
Scientists warn that omicron’s whirlwind spread across the globe practically ensures it won’t be the last worrisome coronavirus variant

Get ready to learn more Greek letters. Scientists warn that omicron’s whirlwind advance practically ensures it won’t be the last version of the coronavirus to worry the world.

Every infection provides a chance for the virus to mutate, and omicron has an edge over its predecessors: It spreads way faster despite emerging on a planet with a stronger patchwork of immunity from vaccines and prior illness.

That means more people in whom the virus can further evolve. Experts don’t know what the next variants will look like or how they might shape the pandemic, but they say there’s no guarantee the sequels of omicron will cause milder illness or that existing vaccines will work against them.

They urge wider vaccination now, while today's shots still work.

"The faster omicron spreads, the more opportunities there are for mutation, potentially leading to more variants,” Leonardo Martinez, an infectious disease epidemiologist at Boston University, said.

Since it emerged in mid-November, omicron has raced across the globe like fire through dry grass. Research shows the variant is at least twice as contagious as delta and at least four times as contagious as the original version of the virus.

Omicron is more likely than delta to reinfect individuals who previously had COVID-19 and to cause “breakthrough infections” in vaccinated people while also attacking the unvaccinated. The World Health Organization reported a record 15 million new COVID-19 cases for the week of Jan. 3-9, a 55% increase from the previous week.

Along with keeping comparatively healthy people out of work and school, the ease with which the variant spreads increases the odds the virus will infect and linger inside people with weakened immune systems - giving it more time to develop potent mutations.

“It’s the longer, persistent infections that seem to be the most likely breeding grounds for new variants,” said Dr. Stuart Campbell Ray, an infectious disease expert at Johns Hopkins University. "It’s only when you have very widespread infection that you’re going to provide the opportunity for that to occur.”

Because omicron appears to cause less severe disease than delta, its behavior has kindled hope that it could be the start of a trend that eventually makes the virus milder like a common cold.

It's a possibility, experts say, given that viruses don’t spread well if they kill their hosts very quickly. But viruses don’t always get less deadly over time.

A variant could also achieve its main goal - replicating - if infected people developed mild symptoms initially, spread the virus by interacting with others, then got very sick later, Ray explained by way of example.

“People have wondered whether the virus will evolve to mildness. But there’s no particular reason for it to do so,” he said. “I don’t think we can be confident that the virus will become less lethal over time.”

Getting progressively better at evading immunity helps a virus to survive over the long term. When SARS-CoV-2 first struck, no one was immune. But infections and vaccines have conferred at least some immunity to much of the world, so the virus must adapt.

There are many possible avenues for evolution. Animals could potentially incubate and unleash new variants. Pet dogs and cats, deer and farm-raised mink are only a few of the animals vulnerable to the virus, which can potentially mutate within them and leap back to people.

Another potential route: With both omicron and delta circulating, people may get double infections that could spawn what Ray calls “Frankenvariants,” hybrids with characteristics of both types.

When new variants do develop, scientists said it’s still very difficult to know from genetic features which ones might take off. For example, omicron has many more mutations than previous variants, around 30 in the spike protein that lets it attach to human cells. But the so-called IHU variant identified in France and being monitored by the WHO has 46 mutations and doesn’t seem to have spread much at all.

To curb the emergence of variants, scientists stress continuing with public health measures such as masking and getting vaccinated. While omicron is better able to evade immunity than delta, experts said, vaccines still offer protection and booster shots greatly reduce serious illness, hospitalizations and deaths.

Anne Thomas, a 64-year-old IT analyst in Westerly, Rhode Island, said she's fully vaccinated and boosted and also tries to stay safe by mostly staying home while her state has one of the highest COVID-19 case rates in the U.S.

“I have no doubt at all that these viruses are going to continue to mutate and we’re going to be dealing with this for a very long time," she said.

Ray likened vaccines to armor for humanity that greatly hinders viral spread even if it doesn't completely stop it. For a virus that spreads exponentially, he said, "anything that curbs transmission can have a great effect.” Also, when vaccinated people get sick, Ray said their illness is usually milder and clears more quickly, leaving less time to spawn dangerous variants.

Experts say the virus won't become endemic like the flu as long as global vaccination rates are so low. During a recent press conference, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said that protecting people from future variants — including those that may be fully resistant to today's shots — depends on ending global vaccine inequity.

Tedros said he’d like to see 70% of people in every country vaccinated by mid-year. Currently, there are dozens of countries where less than a quarter of the population is fully vaccinated, according to Johns Hopkins University statistics. And in the United States, many people continue to resist available vaccines.

“These huge unvaccinated swaths in the U.S., Africa, Asia, Latin America and elsewhere are basically variant factories,” said Dr. Prabhat Jha of the Centre for Global Health Research at St. Michael's Hospital in Toronto. “It's been a colossal failure in global leadership that we have not been able to do this.”

In the meantime, new variants are inevitable, said Louis Mansky, director of the Institute for Molecular Virology at the University of Minnesota.

With so many unvaccinated people, he said, “the virus is still kind of in control of what's going on.”

https://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory/expect-worrisome-variants-omicron-scientists-82282188

Edited by vememah
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kod nas ovdje na sjeveru situacija cudna. imamo 20-30.000 zarazenih dnevno. ca. 200.000 testova rade dnevno a trenutno ima oko 800 (od korone) u bolnici. od toga 175 na psihijatriji. nije mi jasno zasto to podvlace za psihijatriju. od ovih 800 sto su hospitalizovni 80% su nevakcinisanu. 10tak premine dnevno. procenat zaraze je ok 16,9 %. drzava se jos vise otvara, ukidaju polako restrikcije. 

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https://rs.n1info.com/svet/ceska-pevacica-se-namerno-zarazila-koronavirusom-i-umrla/

Quote

 

Češka pevačica se namerno zarazila koronavirusom i umrla
SVET Autor:Hina18. jan. 202217:08
Podeli:
Izvor: Printscreen YouTube/Asonance
Češka pevačica Hana Horka, protivnica vakcinacije protiv koronavirusa, umrla je u 57. godini, pošto se namerno zarazila virusom kako bi dobila kovid potvrdu, objavila je njena porodica.


Njen sin Jan Rek izjavio je na javnom radiju iRozhlas.cz da je njegova majka odbijala da se vakciniše i namerno se izložila virusu kojim su se on i njegov otac, obojica vakcinisani, zarazili pre Božića.

„Odlučila je da će normalno da živi sa nama i radije da dobije virus nego da se vakciniše“, kazao je Rek.

Dva dana pre smrti, pevačica češke folk grupe Asonance napisala je na društvenim mrežama – „Preživela sam. Bilo je živopisno. Sada će biti koncerata, pozorišta, saune, putovanja na more“.

 

 

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6 hours ago, Lancia said:

Zakacila Darvin varijantu virusa, jbg. Tuzno.

St je darvin varijanta? Pretpostavljam ova što filtrira ove koji se opiru zdravom razumu?

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13 hours ago, Krampa said:

kod nas ovdje na sjeveru situacija cudna. imamo 20-30.000 zarazenih dnevno. ca. 200.000 testova rade dnevno a trenutno ima oko 800 (od korone) u bolnici. od toga 175 na psihijatriji. nije mi jasno zasto to podvlace za psihijatriju. od ovih 800 sto su hospitalizovni 80% su nevakcinisanu. 10tak premine dnevno. procenat zaraze je ok 16,9 %. drzava se jos vise otvara, ukidaju polako restrikcije. 

Gde na severu?

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