Trump this!

[3opge]

upravo stiglo od Brnija:

 

What happened yesterday in Arizona should be considered a national disgrace. 

I got an email last night from a woman who waited five hours to vote in Arizona. Five hours. 

We don't know how many thousands of people didn't get to cast their ballotsyesterday in Arizona 

because they couldn't afford to wait that long. 

Scenes on cable news last night showed hundreds of people in line at 11:30pm in Phoenix – 

more than four hours after polls closed. Voting should not be this difficult.

One reason it is so hard to vote in Arizona is because the Supreme Court gutted the Voting Rights Act. 

There were 70 percent fewer polling places this year than in 2012 in Phoenix's county. They wouldn't have 

been allowed to cut those polling places if the Voting Rights Act was still in tact.

These cuts meant that, in a county with more than 4 million residents, there were just 60 polling places. 

This is unacceptable, but it's also not an isolated incident.

We need to make it easier to vote, not more difficult. 

One way we can do that is by reaffirming our support for the Voting Rights Act, which, 

when I am president, I will fight to reinstate.

Edited March 24, 2016 by 3opge

[Weenie Pooh]

Mizogini kastroljubiteljni populista -_- Linkovi ne rade ako ih iskopiraš iz mejla.

[ObiW]

Dumdsej scenario - teško da će se dogoditi iako je zapravo iznenađujuće lako da se izvede, ako postoji volja u GOP establišmentu.

 

 

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/adam-nicholas-phillips/doomsday-savior-how-paul-ryan_b_9474788.html

 

A "harebrained" znaci u prevodu "iznenadjujuce lako"?

 

 

 

This harebrained theory was co-conceived and written with Chris LaTondresse, VP of Communications and Strategy at The Expectations Project and former advisor at USAID’s Center for Faith Based and Community Initiatives.

[Аврам Гојић]

pa tehnički lako, ali politički nemoguće. 

[Eraserhead]

Emory University president says students are scared and 'in pain' after someone wrote 'Trump 2016' in chalk on campus

 

 

What a bunch of pussies

[hazard]

#microagression!

[ObiW]

pa tehnički lako, ali politički nemoguće. 

Ne razumem  :(

 

Ne zaista, kako moze biti "tehnicki lako" ubediti ljude u kljucnim drzavama da 2016 glasaju za osobu za koju nisu hteli da glasaju 2012?

 

Ja razumem da je "tehnicki lako" ubaciti Romnija na glasacki listic, ali tu je otprilike i kraj "kako cemo lako cemo" delu projekta pod nazivom "Mitt the presidentt".

[hazard]

Ono sto je meni zanimljivo pod pretpostavkom da ove ankete nisu mnogo daleko od istine je to sto se onda vidi koliko su primaries jedan mehur samo malog dela populacije. Npr. anketa kaze Kejsik tuce Klintonku sa 5% razlike, a Kejsika u primaries-ima nigde, sanse da bude izabran za kandidata direktno od strane delegata u 1. krugu sada vec nula. To bi mozda moglo da se kvantifikuje poredjenjem izlaznosti primaries vs. general election (u apsolutnim brojkama ne procentima), ali me mrzi da se time bavim.

[Budja]

 

Letter from Ecuador

Castro. Chavez. Peron. Trump?

After decades of suffering under populist strongmen, Latin Americans have a message for the Gringos: Welcome to our world.

 

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/03/bienvenido-el-presidente-trump-213764

 

tizer:

 

 

But the region’s more modern antecedents might offer better comparisons to Trump—a line of recent presidents whose populist campaigns and democratic victories led to a raft of constitutional abuses in their home countries. Writing in Foreign Policy on March 16, Javier Corrales argued that the region has seen 13 people since 1989 run for president as quasi-populist outsiders and win. Some—like Peru’s Fujimori, Venezuela’s Chávez, Colombia’s Álvaro Uribe and Correa—found aggressive (if not creative) ways to amend the constitution to extend their terms. Bolivia’s Evo Morales has tried and failed to do the same. And Chávez’s successor, Nicolás Maduro, has pushed institutional limits far enough to invite a significant backlash.

 

Even with a sizable pool from which to draw, our informal straw poll found a clear consensus for first prize: Abdalá Bucaram, the former president of Ecuador. Bucaram served for eight months, until he was declared by Congress to be mentally incapable to rule in 1997. Known as “El Loco”—a name Bucaram himself brandished with pride—the ill-fated president was a populist sensation, dancing onstage with teenage girls and recording a rock album during his short stint in office. Bucaram’s nephew, Santiago, readily conceded the comparison, in an interview over the phone: “Trump and my uncle were very similar.”

 

Edited March 24, 2016 by Budja

[porucnik vasic]

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/03/bienvenido-el-presidente-trump-213764

 

tizer:

 

 

Спрам овога...

баја је дефиниција нормалности.

[WTF]

Svaka slicnost sa glupostima koje neki prosipaju po ovom topiku je slucajna.

 

From Russia with Love

 

 

Donald Trump is a brave pro-Putin political maverick who would end U.S. foreign wars and perhaps lift sanctions on Moscow. Hillary Clinton, however, is a warmonger beholden to the military-industrial complex.

Russian state TV, which hews closely to the Kremlin's world view, leaves little doubt about who Moscow supports in November's U.S. presidential election: "The Donald."

Vladimir Putin's spokesman took brief exception this month to a Trump attack video which showed Putin laughing at the prospect of Clinton defending America. But officials and analysts say the Kremlin still sees Trump as the best candidate by a mile.

Putin has hailed Trump as "very talented". The head of the Russian parliament's foreign affairs committee said he'd be a worthy winner of the 2015 "man of the year" title in the United States.

And Dmitry Kiselyov, presenter of Russia's main weekly TV news show "Vesti Nedeli," claimed this month that the Republican party elite had struck a secret deal with the Democrats to derail Trump, in part because of his sympathy for Russia.

"Trump doesn't suit the Republican party," Kiselyov told viewers. "They usually divide up the state budget (among themselves) by frightening people about Russia. But Trump is ready to find a common language with Putin. That's why they don't need Trump and even regard him as dangerous."

Kiselyov has been one of the chief proponents of state television's strongly anti-American tone, once saying Moscow could turn the United States into radioactive ash.

Some experts say Trump appeals to Moscow because Putin believes a Trump presidency would be isolationist and leave Russia with a free hand.

"The Kremlin can't believe its luck," said Konstantin von Eggert, an independent Moscow-based political analyst who believes the Obama administration has not been forceful in countering Russia.

"President Obama and (Secretary of State) John Kerry were a dream team for them, but now they have an even better option; someone who thinks that America should have nothing to do with the rest of the world."

RT, the Kremlin's English-language TV channel formerly known as Russia Today, says it does not back any U.S. candidates. But it has described Trump as "idiosyncratic and raw," and suggested he represents the popular will of U.S. voters, which a sinister U.S. establishment is trying to subvert.

"Can America's elections be truly called democratic if the political establishment aligns itself against the popular will?" lamented Peter Lavelle, the American host of RT's flagship talk "CrossTalk" show. "As things stand now millions of voters could be disenfranchised."

'THANK GOD FOR TRUMP'

Trump has received advice from Lieutenant General Michael Flynn, a former U.S. military intelligence chief who advocates better ties with Russia, and who shared a dinner table in Moscow with Putin in December to celebrate RT's 10th anniversary.

Trump has won friends in Moscow with statements praising Putin as a strong leader that he could probably get along with. His support for Russian air strikes in Syria was welcomed.

In January, after a British judge ruled that Putin had "probably" authorized the murder of former KGB agent Alexander Litvinenko in London, Trump said he saw "no evidence" the Russian president was guilty.

"First of all, he says he didn't do it. Many people say it wasn't him. So who knows who did it?" Trump said.

This week, Trump said the United States should reduce funding for NATO. A Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman said his comments showed the alliance was in crisis.

"For the last two years all we heard from Western newspapers and TV was very critical of Russia," Victoria Zhuravleva, a Moscow-based expert on U.S.-Russia relations, told Reuters.

"So when you hear something that is not so critical and even more friendly towards your country it's like: 'Thank God, There's one person we can talk to: Donald Trump'"

Trump and Putin were similar, she said: "They are both open-minded, pragmatic, and say what they think."

'THE OLD BRIGAND'

The mutual appreciation between Trump and Putin has invited comparisons to the Russian leader's friendship with another billionaire-turned-politician, Italy's Silvio Berlusconi, who outraged Ukrainians and irked EU leaders last year by visiting Russian-annexed Crimea with Putin. They toured a Crimean winery and drank a priceless 240-year-old bottle from its cellar.

By contrast, Hillary Clinton, who is well known to the Kremlin because of her 2009-2013 stint as U.S. Secretary of State, is clearly not to Moscow's taste.

"We really don't want Hillary," said one Russian official, who spoke anonymously because of the subject's sensitivity. "She's no friend of Russia's."

State media coverage has focused on what it has cast as her wacky promise to declassify UFO files and on the pressure she has faced for using her personal email account for government business and over her response to the fatal 2012 attack on the U.S. diplomatic compound in Benghazi, Libya.

Pro-Kremlin bloggers, corralled by a Putin supporter who used to represent the ruling party in parliament, are enthused by the prospect of agitating on behalf of Trump.

"Trump is the first member of the American elite in 20 years who compliments Russia. Trump will smash America as we know it, we've got nothing to lose," Konstantin Rykov told his followers on social media.

"Do we want the grandmother Hillary? No. Maybe it's time to help the old brigand."

 

[frn1782]

Putin ne voli Babu.

shocker

[iDemo]

Putin ne voli Babu.

shocker

To sto ne voli babu je ok al' mi je sumnjivo sto se istovremeno kladi na pogreshnog konja™... 

[Њујоркер]

CNNov pogled na GOPove kandidate:

 

 

Ted Cruz and John Kasich will need a political earthquake to slow Donald Trump.

To stop the billionaire from hitting, or coming very close to, the magic number of 1,237 delegates needed to seal the Republican nomination and to raise the prospect of a contested convention, they must do more than simply start snapping up victories in the remaining nominating contests: They must fundamentally reshape the political map.
Cruz, the Texas senator seen as extreme by many mainstream voters, would suddenly have to start appealing to moderates. And Kasich, the Ohio governor branded a RINO (Republican in Name Only) by many grass-roots activists must suddenly find an invisible connection to conservatives.
And even if that worked, both men would have to start winning big in precincts and entire states that look nothing like those where they have had success so far.

"If things continue on the same trajectory that they are on right now. Trump is going to get to 1,237 delegates or awfully close to 1,237," said University of Georgia Professor Joshua Putnam, an expert of the delegate math and publisher of the Frontloading Hq blog.

According to the latest CNN estimate, Trump leads the race with 741 delegates, Cruz has 461 and Kasich, who has only won his home state of Ohio, has 145. Marco Rubio captured 166 delegates before he left the race.
To clinch the nomination, Trump needs to win just 55% of the remaining 899 delegates. Cruz needs 86% and Kasich needs 121% — in other words, hundreds of delegates that don't actually exist. To show the improbable nature of Cruz's task, Trump's dominant position in the delegate count is based on winning only around 47% of the delegates so far awarded.

But the race is also certain to take several months to wrap up. The primary schedule means Trump will have to at least wait until the June 7 contests -- including the mammoth California primary with its 172 delegates -- before he can definitively clinch the nomination.
Cruz is billing himself as the only candidate with a real chance of slowing Trump — a task he says is complicated by Kasich's continued campaign.

"You can't lose every state and expect to be the nominee," Cruz told CNN's Chris Cuomo on "New Day" on Wednesday. "Right now, Kasich's role is really being a spoiler. Kasich benefits Donald Trump."
But Kasich maintains that no candidate is likely to reach the delegate total needed to win the race, so to leave now would be "nuts."
"I am not going anywhere, am I a spoiler, of course I am not a spoiler," Kasich said on CNN on Monday.
Sure, Cruz does have a mathematical chance of overcoming Trump's delegate lead and clinching the nomination himself before the Cleveland convention in July -- but it would essentially require running the table. So hopes o halting Trump rely on him being stopped so far short of the 1,237 barrier that an attempt to deprive him of the nomination at the convention does not smack of a coup against millions of Trump voters.
Map favors Trump, Kasich
The system of doling out delegates in each state -- some are winner take all, some are proportionately awarded, and some have intricate hybrid distribution formulas -- is so complicated it's just not possible to say how the math will play out.
Trump's exact final number could depend on whether he reaches 50% thresholds some states and congressional districts require for a winner take all distribution of their delegates.

A key reason why Trump has such a strong advantage is the makeup of the remaining states.
Many of them have characteristics that favor the reality star, for example, because they are in northeast with crops of less ideological, lower middle class and working class voters, where he has done well so far this convention season.

So, the billionaire is confident of prospering in New York, Connecticut, Maryland, Pennsylvania, California and New Jersey for example.
The long and winding road to the Republican nomination

"No one has yet been able to reduce Donald Trump's percentage of the vote," said Henry Olsen, an elections analyst at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. "Assuming that continues, "Cruz either needs to start appealing to moderates, or Kasich needs to start appealing to conservatives. Neither has been able to do that at all. Neither seems to be showing an inclination to really try."
Olsen says the headache for party figures desperate to stop Trump is that neither Cruz, nor Kasich have the cross-over appeal to consolidate all opposition to the former reality star.

"The fundamental problem is that Kasich does not appeal to conservatives in a two-person race -- there are a substantial number of conservatives that prefer Trump to Kasich. Then, moderates in places like Wisconsin that permit non Republicans to vote tend not to like Cruz."
What Cruz needs to do
Cruz says that if he was the last man standing, he would beat Trump.

"Trump has a hard ceiling of 35 to 40 percent that he has real trouble crossing and (in) the head-to-head, we not only beat Donald, we beat him badly. We beat him by double digits. What Kasich can do is — is pull enough votes away to let Trump win with a plurality."
But the reality of the political map shows things are far more complicated than that.
It is theoretically possible for Cruz to stop Trump's nomination before the convention — but it'll require Cruz to go on a near-perfect run through the West and Kasich to turn the race on its head by showing he can win urban and suburban areas.
It has to start with Wisconsin on April 5 -- "a battleground," Cruz said Thursday, where he and Trump run neck-and-neck.
There are also three must-wins on his calendar: Nebraska, Montana and South Dakota, with a combined 92 delegates on the line. Cruz's wins in Utah, Kansas and Oklahoma suggest he can compete in those rural Plains and Western states. If he doesn't sweep them, he'd be unlikely to win anywhere else, and Trump would be hard to stop.
The case for Kasich
For Kasich, a crucial eight-day stretch starts on April 19 in New York -- the state Trump has called home his entire life.
So far, the largest Northeastern state to vote has been Massachusetts -- where Trump crushed Kasich, 49% to the Ohio governor's 18%, with the since-departed Marco Rubio right behind at 17.9%. Kasich also ran second to Trump in New Hampshire and Vermont.
All along, Kasich's argument has been that he can win moderates. It's just a notion at this point, since Kasich has only won one state -- his own.
But if he can somehow change the fundamental dynamics of the race, rocket up the polls and win suburban regions of New York, it'd stop Trump from sweeping nearly all of the state's 95 delegates. It'd also foreshadow the following week, when five more East Coast states vote: Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island.
Kasich might not win any of those five states, but he could win individual congressional districts and keep the front-runner below 50%, slowing Trump's collection of delegates.
June 7
It could all build to high drama on June 7 -- the last day of Republican primaries and caucuses, with a huge pot of 303 delegates on the line.
Among those are Cruz's targets of Montana and South Dakota, as well as New Mexico, with a proportional allocation that's unlikely to yield huge advantages for any candidate.
Then, there are the two that could push Trump over the top: California, with its 172 delegates, nearly all of which could go to the front-runner's camp given its winner-take-all rules for the state and district levels, and New Jersey, where the state's winner gets all 51 delegates.
Unpledged delegates
If that is not all complicated enough, things get even more difficult to predict.
There are also a number of delegates that haven't been handed to any of the three candidates still in the race -- putting them in play if the fight goes to the Republican National Convention in Cleveland.
Trump won't win all of those delegates but is sure to lock in the support of some -- which is why it could take until the first ballot before it's clear whether he's reached 1,237.
Three of the remaining states -- Colorado on April 9, Wyoming on April 16 and West Virginia on May 10 -- don't allow their voters to pick candidates directly. Instead, they elect delegates to the convention -- which means those delegates (34 from Colorado, 14 from Wyoming and 34 from West Virginia) are all in play for every candidate.
Another 54 unpledged delegates come from Pennsylvania, where Trump and Kasich are headed for a showdown.
If Trump is inches away from 1,237, he could cross the threshold by winning a share of those delegates. If he doesn't get there, though, things could come unspooled almost immediately -- especially since Cruz has focused on getting delegates on the slate who might be legally bound to back Trump in the first round of voting, but could switch to his camp on the second or third rounds.
And there's another big pool of delegates is sprung free on the second ballot.
Rubio's 166 delegates could then come into play. A smattering of 16 more are divided between Ben Carson, Jeb Bush, Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee and Rand Paul, and another 29 aren't bound to any specific candidate.
Another 12 will go to the winner of the Missouri primary once those results are certified -- likely giving Trump a bit of a boost, if his lead there holds -- and three more haven't been allocated in Mississippi.
Amid the chaos of a contested convention, with the complicated delegate math shifting by the minute, Trump's self-appointed title as the world's greatest deal maker could face its toughest test.
CORRECTION: This story has been updated to correct a quote from Henry Olsen, an elections analyst at the Ethics and Public Policy Center.

[Budja]

 

 

Cruz: ‘Donald Trump May Be a Rat But I Have No Desire to Copulate With Him’

 

nakon sto je National Enquirer objavio da je Cruz varao suprugu sa 5 zena.

 

Ako je istina, Kruzovi christian credentials su cao.

Ako nije, opet je Tramp onako tabloidski prisilio Kruza u odbranu.

Edited March 25, 2016 by Budja