Iran: novi front

[vememah]

Iz dosta sadržajne reportaže NYT-a od pre neki dan:

 

Quote

An ultraconservative judiciary chief appears to have the only real chance of winning after a council of powerful clerics disqualified virtually all the other viable candidates...

Many moderate-leaning Iranians appear to be planning to sit the election out, according to polls, commentary and interviews. They were already deeply disillusioned with candidates from the more moderate reformist movement who pledge to change Iran from within the existing system, rallying votes only to fail to deliver once elected.

But then the Guardian Council disqualified a number of prominent politicians — including the current vice president, former speaker of Parliament, a former president and a former minister — from both reformist and conservative factions.

That led many to conclude that the elections were engineered to produce victory for Mr. Raisi, known for his strict conservative views and what rights activists call a dire record of human rights abuses including mass executions. He has been sanctioned by the United States.

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/17/world/middleeast/iran-election-president.html

Edited June 19, 2021 by vememah

[אַף אֶחָד]

Pa to, nit su ovo izbori, niti je izabrani predsednik u uobicajenom smislu te reci. Vrhovni vodja komanduje vojskom, postavlja sve kljucne ministre, smenjuje predsednika ako mu se cefne, izdaje izvrsna akta... nema tu nikakve podele vlasti, naprotiv, ovo su izbori za coveka broj dva u zemlji. S obzirom da je Khamenei vec u dubokoj starosti (82), do kraja drugog Raisijevog mandata realno je ocekivati da ovaj bude naslednik. Premda je i sam Khamenei dosao na vrh izokola, preko Montazerija.

[vememah]

 

Quote

Responding to today’s announcement declaring Ebrahim Raisi as Iran’s next president, Amnesty International’s Secretary General Agnès Callamard said:

“That Ebrahim Raisi has risen to the presidency instead of being investigated for the crimes against humanity of murder, enforced disappearance and torture, is a grim reminder that impunity reigns supreme in Iran. In 2018, our organization documented how Ebrahim Raisi had been a member of the ‘death commission’ which forcibly disappeared and extrajudicially executed in secret thousands of political dissidents in Evin and Gohardasht prisons near Tehran in 1988. The circumstances surrounding the fate of the victims and the whereabouts of their bodies are, to this day, systematically concealed by the Iranian authorities, amounting to ongoing crimes against humanity.

‘As Head of the Iranian Judiciary, Ebrahim Raisi has presided over a spiralling crackdown on human rights which has seen hundreds of peaceful dissidents, human rights defenders and members of persecuted minority groups arbitrarily detained. Under his watch, the judiciary has also granted blanket impunity to government officials and security forces responsible for unlawfully killing hundreds of men, women and children and subjecting thousands of protesters to mass arrests and at least hundreds to enforced disappearance, and torture and other ill-treatment during and in the aftermath of the nationwide protests of November 2019.

“Ebrahim Raisi’s rise to the presidency follows an electoral process that was conducted in a highly repressive environment and barred women, members of religious minorities and candidates with opposing views from running for office.

“We continue to call for Ebrahim Raisi to be investigated for his involvement in past and ongoing crimes under international law, including by states that exercise universal jurisdiction.

“It is now more urgent than ever for member states of the UN Human Rights Council to take concrete steps to address the crisis of systematic impunity in Iran including by establishing an impartial mechanism to collect and analyse evidence of the most serious crimes under international law committed in Iran to facilitate fair and independent criminal proceedings.”

https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2021/06/iran-ebrahim-raisi-must-be-investigated-for-crimes-against-humanity/

Edited June 20, 2021 by vememah

[vememah]

Nikad manji odziv, prvi put ispod 50%.

 

[theanswer]

Pitam se da li američka politika i izraelski kontiunirani napadi imaju veze sa tim što je hardliner izabran u Iranu

Edited June 20, 2021 by theanswer

[ObiW]

Ne.

[Redoran]

4 hours ago, theanswer said:

Pitam se da li američka politika i izraelski kontiunirani napadi imaju veze sa tim što je hardliner izabran u Iranu

 

Imaju svakako, ali to ide u kombinaciji sa vidljivim odustajanjem leve^tm strane glasačkog tela od izbora. Doduše, sa ovakvom raspodelom glasova ovaj pop Đujić bi pobedio i da je izašlo 70% birača.

[Zabalujev]

Za prošle parlamentarne mi se čini da je u Teheranu izlaznost bila nešto oko 25 posto. Ljudi u fazonu: nema za koga da se glasa, što je bukvalno tačno zahvaljujući eliminaciji kandidata.

In other news, Zarif tvrdi da obnavljanje nukl.sporazuma sa US samo što nije.

[Amos]

45 minutes ago, Zabalujev said:

In other news, Zarif tvrdi da obnavljanje nukl.sporazuma sa US samo što nije.

 

Only Nixon can go to China.

[Frank Pembleton]

Euronews srbija je ovih dana više puta puštao intervju sa Ahmadinedžadom...
Jel on u kućnom pritvoru bio?

.... Shiit has hit the fan!

[Zabalujev]

Koliko znam, nije, probao je i da se kandiduje na ovim izborima, ali mu nisu dali. Fun fact, Homeinijev unuk je protestovao pre nekih mesec dana protiv sistema selekcije kandidata, izdaja principa revolucije, ovo-ono 

 

[Bojan]

10 hours ago, vememah said:

 

 

 

Pa ovo je zapravo jako veliki poraz, imajući u vidu situaciju i sistem. Raisi je dobio 18 miliona, što je oko 30% glasačkog tela. Izlaznost ispod 50%. Beli listići 12-13%. Kad je Ahmedinedžad glatko dobio 2009. desili su se veliki protesti. Zadnjih godina je takođe bilo protesta. Opozicija je dosta jaka, a antirežimsko raspoloženje je posebno izraženo među studentima, kulturnom elitom i srednjom klasom generalno. Ova kriza legitimiteta će se odraziti na tu neku unutrašnju stabilnost. Hardlineri optužuju Rohanijevu administraciju za opstrukciju izbora. Obratite pažnju da javnost alarmira 94-godišnji Ajatolah Ahmad Jannati, ali to je član Saveta koji je imenovan od šefa države Khameneia i ima apsolutne poluge moći u zemlji. Tu on proziva ministra unutrašnjih poslova.

 

Rohani je čestitao novoizrabranom predsedniku. Rohani kao odlazeći predsednik je imao dosta ambicija, ali je malo toga ispunio. Može se reći da je prilično izneverio glasače koji su mu u dva navrata davali poverenje. Ali, ruku na srce, nisu mu ni okolnosti išle u prilog. Unutra, već poznata stvar da Khamenei može da ga blokira kad to poželi, a spolja pojava Trumpa i zaoštravanje prema Iranu. Tu je i stvar oko korone i Khameneijeva zabrana da se uvoze vakcine sa Zapada. Sad je zanimljivo čak i da su tvrdolinijaši podnosili prijave protiv Rohanija te mu se može dogoditi da po silasku sa vlasti bude procesuiran.

 

U svakom slučaju reformske tendencije će ostati jake. Njima je pečat dao Khatami koji je još uvek aktivan, mada mu se samo povremeno dozvoljava da se obrati javnosti. Koliko su Khatamijevi uticajni, govori i to da je Homeinijeva ćerka (feministički aktivna) udata za Khatamijevog brata. 

[Jozef K.]

Ljudski gledano bolje je kada su na vlasti hardlajneri. Kada je Hatami bio, mnogi ljudi su se oslobodili počeo je aktivizam, pa su ti ljudi gonjeni i ubjani na ulici, a Hatami nije mogao da im pruži zaštitu od basidža.

[Bojan]

I to je tačno. Ali, ipak izabrani predsednik i njegov kabinet imaju dosta udela u politikama koje utiču na svakodnevni život.

[Shitgenstein]

Drugo mesto na izborima su zauzeli nevažeći glasovi.